Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Autoneum Holding AG (0QOB.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$161.84 - $271.59$209.99
Multi-Stage$303.38 - $333.52$318.16
Blended Fair Value$264.07
Current Price$138.80
Upside90.25%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-2.90%9.22%2.500.001.190.000.002.905.235.233.603.59
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-44.55%0.00%44.98%0.48%246.67%
Dividend Yield--2.09%0.00%1.24%0.00%0.00%2.64%3.74%1.97%1.43%1.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)79.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.829.895.93
Cash Retained (M)48.3048.3048.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.82-9.89-5.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4838.4142.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.805.805.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.606.627.31
LTM Dividend per Share5.315.315.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.606.627.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.9111.9412.62
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.19%0.81%1.81%
Fair Value$161.84$209.99$271.59
Upside / Downside16.60%51.29%95.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)79.1079.7480.3981.0481.6982.3584.83
Payout Ratio38.94%49.15%59.36%69.58%79.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.8039.1947.7256.3865.1874.1278.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.19%0.81%1.81%
Year 1 PV (M)36.4236.7937.15
Year 2 PV (M)41.2142.0442.88
Year 3 PV (M)45.2546.6248.02
Year 4 PV (M)48.6150.5952.63
Year 5 PV (M)51.3754.0056.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,536.391,614.911,696.61
Equity Value (M)1,759.261,844.951,934.03
Shares Outstanding (M)5.805.805.80
Fair Value$303.38$318.16$333.52
Upside / Downside118.57%129.22%140.29%

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