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S.A. Catana Group (0OGG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.47 - $314.88$141.72
Multi-Stage$34.85 - $38.13$36.46
Blended Fair Value$89.09
Current Price$5.05
Upside1,664.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.150.130.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.09%12.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.90%2.06%2.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.425.893.53
Cash Retained (M)36.5636.5636.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.42-5.89-3.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.1430.6733.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.7429.7429.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.911.031.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.911.031.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.46
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.47$141.72$314.88
Upside / Downside1,196.43%2,706.30%6,135.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47.0950.1553.4156.8860.5864.5266.45
Payout Ratio22.37%35.90%49.42%62.95%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.5418.0026.4035.8146.3358.0761.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.5816.7416.90
Year 2 PV (M)22.4022.8323.26
Year 3 PV (M)27.9928.7929.61
Year 4 PV (M)33.3634.6435.96
Year 5 PV (M)38.5140.3742.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)897.73941.09986.11
Equity Value (M)1,036.561,084.451,134.13
Shares Outstanding (M)29.7429.7429.74
Fair Value$34.85$36.46$38.13
Upside / Downside590.13%622.01%655.09%

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