Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Financial Statements
Periods / Units
Fundamentals
Valuations
Miscellaneous
Analysis Mode
Full Access
See Pricing Start Trial

Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$260.45 - $632.75$387.31
Multi-Stage$193.68 - $211.48$202.42
Blended Fair Value$294.86
Current Price$318.16
Upside-7.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.21%7.20%4.404.113.833.585.063.112.902.702.522.35
YoY Growth--7.14%7.21%7.25%-29.35%62.78%7.14%7.35%7.19%7.19%7.03%
Dividend Yield--1.05%1.02%1.66%2.03%2.29%2.10%1.62%2.30%2.06%2.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)647.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)250.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)397.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)129.6081.0048.60
Cash Retained (M)397.90397.90397.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-129.60-81.00-48.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)268.31316.90349.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.9353.9353.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.985.886.48
LTM Dividend per Share4.644.644.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.985.886.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.6110.5111.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.21%6.21%7.21%
Fair Value$260.45$387.31$632.75
Upside / Downside-18.14%21.73%98.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)647.98688.25731.03776.46824.71875.97902.25
Payout Ratio38.59%48.88%59.16%69.44%79.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)250.08336.38432.45539.15657.45788.37834.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.21%6.21%7.21%
Year 1 PV (M)305.43308.33311.24
Year 2 PV (M)356.52363.33370.20
Year 3 PV (M)403.59415.20427.04
Year 4 PV (M)446.85464.08481.81
Year 5 PV (M)486.53510.09534.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,446.068,855.149,279.91
Equity Value (M)10,444.9810,916.1811,404.76
Shares Outstanding (M)53.9353.9353.93
Fair Value$193.68$202.42$211.48
Upside / Downside-39.12%-36.38%-33.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 11 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
THFFFirst Financial Corporation3.32%$1.9831.67%
IRDMIridium Communications Inc.3.31%$0.5949.66%
PDCOPatterson Companies, Inc.3.31%$1.0466.64%
0HRZ.LCoterra Energy Inc.3.30%$0.8840.64%
ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.3.30%$0.5733.33%
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.3.30%$0.9278.89%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.3.30%$1.9848.25%
0IUX.LGenuine Parts Company3.29%$4.0569.77%
BGBunge Global S.A.3.29%$3.0531.37%
HDGCXThe Hartford Dividend and Growth Fund Class C3.29%$1.0820.58%
PSBDPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc.3.29%$0.4090.32%
LIENChicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.3.28%$0.3423.50%
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.3.28%$1.2890.14%
CVCYCentral Valley Community Bancorp3.27%$0.5832.80%
F-PDFord Motor Company 6.500% Notes3.27%$0.7463.45%
FSBWFS Bancorp, Inc.3.27%$1.3331.78%
TRNOTerreno Realty Corporation3.27%$1.9362.02%
0I1P.LComerica Incorporated3.26%$2.8252.30%
ALEXAlexander & Baldwin, Inc.3.26%$0.6766.95%
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.3.26%$0.8578.30%
AGM-PCFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation3.24%$7.8539.89%
HTOH2O America3.24%$1.6052.08%
WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.3.24%$3.4566.21%
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation3.24%$3.9857.54%
SCLStepan Company3.22%$1.5276.82%
HBTHBT Financial, Inc.3.21%$0.8333.20%
KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation3.21%$3.8670.13%
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.3.20%$1.1838.74%
0QZA.LConocoPhillips3.19%$3.0943.65%
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.3.18%$5.0435.22%
CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.3.17%$0.9652.57%
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.3.17%$3.1756.36%
LARKLandmark Bancorp, Inc.3.17%$0.8238.75%
NBPU.LNB Private Equity Partners Limited3.17%$0.6770.20%
PFBCPreferred Bank3.16%$3.0329.67%
HNIHNI Corporation3.15%$1.3444.63%
RBBRBB Bancorp3.15%$0.6443.45%
FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.3.14%$0.9428.23%
NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corporation3.14%$1.1937.27%
0KZA.LSM Energy Company3.13%$0.609.44%
CBUCommunity Bank System, Inc.3.13%$1.8246.85%
DTEDTE Energy Company3.13%$4.0887.19%
RNSTRenasant Corporation3.13%$1.1148.14%
BSRRSierra Bancorp3.11%$1.0134.68%
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation3.11%$0.5238.19%
PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.3.11%$6.5739.89%
PRKPark National Corporation3.11%$4.8044.20%
GEFGreif, Inc.3.10%$2.1212.04%
0QAH.LMerck & Co., Inc.3.09%$3.2542.60%
BANRBanner Corporation3.09%$1.9335.15%