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Artesian Resources Corporation (ARTNA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.95 - $55.52$41.26
Multi-Stage$33.04 - $36.09$34.54
Blended Fair Value$37.90
Current Price$32.60
Upside16.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.93%4.93%1.181.091.000.950.910.880.860.820.790.76
YoY Growth--8.24%8.94%5.02%4.80%2.78%3.44%3.80%3.86%4.72%3.83%
Dividend Yield--3.62%2.96%1.81%1.96%2.31%2.37%2.36%2.26%2.44%2.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.512.821.69
Cash Retained (M)9.999.999.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.51-2.82-1.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.487.178.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.700.80
LTM Dividend per Share1.221.221.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.700.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.751.912.02
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate3.25%4.25%5.25%
Fair Value$30.95$41.26$55.52
Upside / Downside-5.05%26.55%70.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.5323.4924.4925.5326.6127.7428.57
Payout Ratio55.68%62.54%69.41%76.27%83.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.5514.6917.0019.4722.1224.9726.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate3.25%4.25%5.25%
Year 1 PV (M)13.3413.4713.60
Year 2 PV (M)14.0114.2814.56
Year 3 PV (M)14.5715.0015.44
Year 4 PV (M)15.0415.6316.23
Year 5 PV (M)15.4116.1716.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)268.25281.49295.26
Equity Value (M)340.61356.04372.04
Shares Outstanding (M)10.3110.3110.31
Fair Value$33.04$34.54$36.09
Upside / Downside1.36%5.95%10.71%

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