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Aramark (ARMK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.29 - $19.30$15.50
Multi-Stage$16.22 - $17.77$16.98
Blended Fair Value$16.24
Current Price$39.00
Upside-58.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.01%3.07%0.410.370.430.420.420.410.410.390.380.34
YoY Growth--10.93%-12.84%1.32%0.99%1.01%2.26%5.16%2.28%9.49%12.43%
Dividend Yield--1.06%1.00%1.52%1.42%1.57%1.49%1.29%1.86%1.22%1.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)326.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)215.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.2840.8024.48
Cash Retained (M)215.57215.57215.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.28-40.80-24.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)150.29174.77191.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)267.56267.56267.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.650.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.650.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Fair Value$12.29$15.50$19.30
Upside / Downside-68.49%-60.25%-50.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)326.39333.15340.05347.09354.28361.61372.46
Payout Ratio33.95%45.16%56.37%67.58%78.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.82150.46191.69234.57279.14325.45344.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)136.56137.91139.26
Year 2 PV (M)157.91161.05164.23
Year 3 PV (M)175.39180.64186.00
Year 4 PV (M)189.43197.04204.88
Year 5 PV (M)200.46210.57221.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,479.963,655.563,838.17
Equity Value (M)4,339.714,542.784,753.63
Shares Outstanding (M)267.56267.56267.56
Fair Value$16.22$16.98$17.77
Upside / Downside-58.41%-56.47%-54.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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