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Wellcall Holdings Berhad (7231.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.28 - $2.49$1.76
Multi-Stage$2.03 - $2.23$2.13
Blended Fair Value$1.95
Current Price$1.34
Upside45.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS9.46%0.00%0.090.080.070.060.050.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--10.00%11.11%28.57%12.00%-10.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.53%4.82%6.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)40.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.065.043.02
Cash Retained (M)0.450.450.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.06-5.04-3.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)-7.61-4.59-2.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)497.95497.95497.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.01-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.02-0.01-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Fair Value$1.28$1.76$2.49
Upside / Downside-4.12%31.67%85.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)40.2841.2642.2643.2944.3445.4246.78
Payout Ratio98.90%97.12%95.34%93.56%91.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.8440.0740.2940.5040.6940.8843.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.43%2.43%3.43%
Year 1 PV (M)37.2437.6137.98
Year 2 PV (M)34.8135.5036.19
Year 3 PV (M)32.5233.4934.48
Year 4 PV (M)30.3731.5932.84
Year 5 PV (M)28.3529.7831.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)848.31890.96935.31
Equity Value (M)1,011.611,058.931,108.07
Shares Outstanding (M)497.95497.95497.95
Fair Value$2.03$2.13$2.23
Upside / Downside51.61%58.70%66.06%

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