Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Southwest Securities Co., Ltd. (600369.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.16 - $1.74$1.44
Multi-Stage$3.74 - $4.13$3.93
Blended Fair Value$2.68
Current Price$4.75
Upside-43.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.97%8.05%0.140.110.190.230.210.160.170.200.260.17
YoY Growth--24.76%-41.92%-14.69%8.69%34.70%-7.36%-17.76%-20.26%47.21%167.98%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.86%4.98%5.22%4.48%3.43%2.98%4.68%4.11%2.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)922.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)251.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)670.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)184.42115.2769.16
Cash Retained (M)670.81670.81670.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-184.42-115.27-69.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)486.39555.55601.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,419.316,419.316,419.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate5.52%5.52%5.52%
Growth Rate-3.97%-2.97%-1.97%
Fair Value$1.16$1.44$1.74
Upside / Downside-75.52%-69.76%-63.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)922.12894.70868.09842.27817.23792.92816.71
Payout Ratio27.25%39.80%52.35%64.90%77.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)251.31356.11454.46546.65632.95713.63755.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.52%5.52%5.52%
Growth Rate-3.97%-2.97%-1.97%
Year 1 PV (M)334.02337.50340.98
Year 2 PV (M)399.82408.19416.64
Year 3 PV (M)451.08465.32479.85
Year 4 PV (M)489.88510.61531.99
Year 5 PV (M)518.06545.60574.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,795.3322,954.0824,161.60
Equity Value (M)23,988.1925,221.3026,505.37
Shares Outstanding (M)6,419.316,419.316,419.31
Fair Value$3.74$3.93$4.13
Upside / Downside-21.33%-17.28%-13.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 11 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
THFFFirst Financial Corporation3.32%$1.9831.67%
IRDMIridium Communications Inc.3.31%$0.5949.66%
PDCOPatterson Companies, Inc.3.31%$1.0466.64%
0HRZ.LCoterra Energy Inc.3.30%$0.8840.64%
ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.3.30%$0.5733.33%
KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.3.30%$0.9278.89%
SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.3.30%$1.9848.25%
0IUX.LGenuine Parts Company3.29%$4.0569.77%
BGBunge Global S.A.3.29%$3.0531.37%
HDGCXThe Hartford Dividend and Growth Fund Class C3.29%$1.0820.58%
PSBDPalmer Square Capital BDC Inc.3.29%$0.4090.32%
LIENChicago Atlantic BDC, Inc.3.28%$0.3423.50%
REXRRexford Industrial Realty, Inc.3.28%$1.2890.14%
CVCYCentral Valley Community Bancorp3.27%$0.5832.80%
F-PDFord Motor Company 6.500% Notes3.27%$0.7463.45%
FSBWFS Bancorp, Inc.3.27%$1.3331.78%
TRNOTerreno Realty Corporation3.27%$1.9362.02%
0I1P.LComerica Incorporated3.26%$2.8252.30%
ALEXAlexander & Baldwin, Inc.3.26%$0.6766.95%
BRXBrixmor Property Group Inc.3.26%$0.8578.30%
AGM-PCFederal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation3.24%$7.8539.89%
HTOH2O America3.24%$1.6052.08%
WECWEC Energy Group, Inc.3.24%$3.4566.21%
XOMExxon Mobil Corporation3.24%$3.9857.54%
SCLStepan Company3.22%$1.5276.82%
HBTHBT Financial, Inc.3.21%$0.8333.20%
KALUKaiser Aluminum Corporation3.21%$3.8670.13%
SMPStandard Motor Products, Inc.3.20%$1.1838.74%
0QZA.LConocoPhillips3.19%$3.0943.65%
PAGPenske Automotive Group, Inc.3.18%$5.0435.22%
CRBGCorebridge Financial, Inc.3.17%$0.9652.57%
EDConsolidated Edison, Inc.3.17%$3.1756.36%
LARKLandmark Bancorp, Inc.3.17%$0.8238.75%
NBPU.LNB Private Equity Partners Limited3.17%$0.6770.20%
PFBCPreferred Bank3.16%$3.0329.67%
HNIHNI Corporation3.15%$1.3444.63%
RBBRBB Bancorp3.15%$0.6443.45%
FGF&G Annuities & Life, Inc.3.14%$0.9428.23%
NBHCNational Bank Holdings Corporation3.14%$1.1937.27%
0KZA.LSM Energy Company3.13%$0.609.44%
CBUCommunity Bank System, Inc.3.13%$1.8246.85%
DTEDTE Energy Company3.13%$4.0887.19%
RNSTRenasant Corporation3.13%$1.1148.14%
BSRRSierra Bancorp3.11%$1.0134.68%
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial Corporation3.11%$0.5238.19%
PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.3.11%$6.5739.89%
PRKPark National Corporation3.11%$4.8044.20%
GEFGreif, Inc.3.10%$2.1212.04%
0QAH.LMerck & Co., Inc.3.09%$3.2542.60%
BANRBanner Corporation3.09%$1.9335.15%