Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tsinghua Tongfang Co.,Ltd. (600100.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.59 - $0.80$0.70
Multi-Stage$1.68 - $1.86$1.77
Blended Fair Value$1.23
Current Price$8.11
Upside-84.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.40%-7.97%0.150.260.350.390.410.400.370.450.350.39
YoY Growth---41.59%-24.82%-10.27%-3.90%1.52%9.43%-19.06%30.26%-10.19%9.41%
Dividend Yield--1.98%3.91%4.49%7.05%7.18%5.02%2.89%4.33%2.54%3.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)395.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)311.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)79.0849.4229.65
Cash Retained (M)83.4483.4483.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-79.08-49.42-29.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.3734.0253.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,253.333,253.333,253.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-8.12%-7.12%-6.12%
Fair Value$0.59$0.70$0.80
Upside / Downside-92.72%-91.38%-90.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)395.39367.24341.09316.80294.25273.30281.49
Payout Ratio78.90%81.12%83.34%85.56%87.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)311.94297.89284.25271.05258.29245.97260.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-8.12%-7.12%-6.12%
Year 1 PV (M)275.38278.38281.37
Year 2 PV (M)242.92248.23253.61
Year 3 PV (M)214.13221.20228.42
Year 4 PV (M)188.63196.98205.60
Year 5 PV (M)166.06175.29184.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,384.384,628.224,882.79
Equity Value (M)5,471.495,748.306,036.73
Shares Outstanding (M)3,253.333,253.333,253.33
Fair Value$1.68$1.77$1.86
Upside / Downside-79.26%-78.21%-77.12%

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