Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Weihai Guangwei Composites Co., Ltd. (300699.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.77 - $130.38$122.19
Multi-Stage$20.65 - $22.57$21.59
Blended Fair Value$71.89
Current Price$30.35
Upside136.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.56%29.92%0.530.440.310.310.310.220.130.000.020.02
YoY Growth--19.54%40.00%0.00%0.00%40.00%67.69%0.00%-100.00%9.92%-57.12%
Dividend Yield--1.69%1.45%0.98%0.85%0.73%0.72%0.50%0.00%0.25%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)541.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)438.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)102.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.2067.6340.58
Cash Retained (M)102.63102.63102.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.20-67.63-40.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5.5735.0162.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)825.21825.21825.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.040.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.530.530.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.040.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$64.77$122.19$130.38
Upside / Downside113.41%302.59%329.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)541.00576.17613.62653.51695.98741.22763.46
Payout Ratio81.03%82.82%84.62%86.41%88.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)438.37477.20519.23564.71613.90667.10706.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)444.48448.69452.91
Year 2 PV (M)450.46459.04467.70
Year 3 PV (M)456.32469.42482.76
Year 4 PV (M)462.05479.82498.10
Year 5 PV (M)467.66490.25513.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,759.3715,472.2616,212.42
Equity Value (M)17,040.3417,819.4718,627.59
Shares Outstanding (M)825.21825.21825.21
Fair Value$20.65$21.59$22.57
Upside / Downside-31.96%-28.85%-25.62%

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