Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd (002248.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.31 - $0.41$0.36
Multi-Stage$0.81 - $0.90$0.85
Blended Fair Value$0.61
Current Price$10.43
Upside-94.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.48%-24.02%0.010.020.020.020.030.060.090.170.120.15
YoY Growth---40.74%2.58%0.73%-24.29%-47.02%-35.63%-46.77%40.67%-23.05%-29.61%
Dividend Yield--0.16%0.33%0.24%0.30%0.67%0.66%0.83%1.66%1.09%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.492.811.68
Cash Retained (M)20.7020.7020.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.49-2.81-1.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.2117.8919.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)278.21278.21278.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate-11.18%-10.18%-9.18%
Fair Value$0.31$0.36$0.41
Upside / Downside-97.03%-96.53%-96.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.4420.1618.1016.2614.6013.1213.51
Payout Ratio7.78%24.22%40.67%57.11%73.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.754.887.369.2910.7411.8112.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.34%7.34%7.34%
Growth Rate-11.18%-10.18%-9.18%
Year 1 PV (M)4.504.554.60
Year 2 PV (M)6.256.396.53
Year 3 PV (M)7.267.517.76
Year 4 PV (M)7.748.098.46
Year 5 PV (M)7.838.288.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)191.04202.04213.54
Equity Value (M)224.62236.86249.65
Shares Outstanding (M)278.21278.21278.21
Fair Value$0.81$0.85$0.90
Upside / Downside-92.26%-91.84%-91.40%

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