Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$367.43 - $1,275.40$1,195.15
Multi-Stage$213.97 - $234.01$223.80
Blended Fair Value$709.48
Current Price$83.53
Upside749.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.07%8.60%6.346.316.014.043.963.753.543.263.112.97
YoY Growth--0.50%5.04%48.79%1.87%5.64%6.08%8.66%4.84%4.67%6.72%
Dividend Yield--5.77%4.28%3.10%1.88%2.33%4.02%3.09%3.11%2.89%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,395.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)107.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,100.40687.75412.65
Cash Retained (M)107.00107.00107.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,100.40-687.75-412.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-993.40-580.75-305.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.346.346.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-1.17-0.68-0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.175.665.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.10%6.10%6.10%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Fair Value$367.43$1,195.15$1,275.40
Upside / Downside339.88%1,330.80%1,426.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,502.005,811.836,139.106,484.806,849.977,235.707,452.78
Payout Ratio98.06%96.44%94.83%93.22%91.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,395.005,605.175,821.906,045.276,275.336,512.136,893.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.10%6.10%6.10%
Growth Rate4.63%5.63%6.63%
Year 1 PV (M)5,232.705,282.715,332.72
Year 2 PV (M)5,073.875,171.325,269.69
Year 3 PV (M)4,918.445,060.815,205.90
Year 4 PV (M)4,766.344,951.185,141.35
Year 5 PV (M)4,617.524,842.445,076.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)157,477.77165,148.37173,115.01
Equity Value (M)182,086.63190,456.83199,140.71
Shares Outstanding (M)851.00851.00851.00
Fair Value$213.97$223.80$234.01
Upside / Downside156.16%167.93%180.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 107 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
6850.TChino Corporation0.71%$9.969.27%
688059.SSZhuzhou Huarui Precision Cutting Tools Co.,Ltd0.71%$0.5629.25%
688508.SSWuxi Chipown Micro-electronics limited0.71%$0.4326.46%
9638.HKFerretti S.p.A.0.71%$0.2038.33%
CRAB.JKPT Toba Surimi Industries Tbk0.71%$2.0013.13%
NBRNabors Industries Ltd.0.71%$0.402.93%
000429.SZGuangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd.0.70%$0.089.82%
001288.SZSichuan Zigong Conveying Machine Group Co., Ltd.0.70%$0.2229.11%
002131.SZLeo Group Co., Ltd.0.70%$0.0452.22%
002676.SZGuangdong Sunwill Precising Plastic Co.,Ltd0.70%$0.0659.42%
012510.KSDouzone Bizon Co., Ltd.0.70%$627.8325.46%
0306.HKKwoon Chung Bus Holdings Limited0.70%$0.025.99%
0596.HKInspur Digital Enterprise Technology Limited0.70%$0.057.15%
0A28.LProsus N.V.0.70%$0.202.47%
2308.TWDelta Electronics, Inc.0.70%$6.9936.39%
248170.KSSempio Foods Company0.70%$199.906.93%
300570.SZT&S Communications Co.,Ltd.0.70%$0.8148.35%
301121.SZChongqing VDL Electronics Co., Ltd.0.70%$0.2871.34%
600436.SSZhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical., Ltd0.70%$1.1929.62%
601179.SSChina XD Electric Co., Ltd0.70%$0.0626.97%
603610.SSKeeson Technology Corporation Limited0.70%$0.1330.85%
603861.SSGuangzhou Baiyun Electric Equipment Co., Ltd.0.70%$0.0920.16%
603931.SSHangzhou Greenda Electronic Materials Co., Ltd.0.70%$0.2234.41%
EBG.AXEumundi Group Limited0.70%$0.0111.04%
FIBRAPL14.MXFIBRA Prologis0.70%$0.5310.31%
GENT.OLGentian Diagnostics ASA0.70%$0.4014.62%
GNP.AXGenusPlus Group Limited0.70%$0.0414.64%
000752.SZTibet Development Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.0813.60%
002370.SZZhejiang Yatai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.0527.70%
002720.KSKukje Pharma Co., Ltd.0.69%$30.079.58%
035900.KQJYP Entertainment Corporation0.69%$534.0010.38%
0YQA.LCarel Industries S.p.A.0.69%$0.1728.52%
163730.KQFinger, Inc.0.69%$70.8522.74%
1698.HKTencent Music Entertainment Group0.69%$0.4813.95%
300274.SZSungrow Power Supply Co., Ltd.0.69%$1.1815.76%
300285.SZShandong Sinocera Functional Material Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.1930.63%
300314.SZNingbo David Medical Device Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.0937.64%
300373.SZYangzhou Yangjie Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.4719.50%
300434.SZSichuan Goldstone Asia Pharmaceutical Inc.0.69%$0.0722.00%
300800.SZLihe Technology (Hunan) Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.0845.90%
5E2.SISeatrium Ltd0.69%$0.0119.15%
600206.SSGrinm Advanced Materials Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.1442.92%
600760.SSAVIC Shenyang Aircraft Company Limited0.69%$0.3937.55%
601838.SSBank of Chengdu Co., Ltd.0.69%$0.113.53%
603038.SSDongguan Huali Industries Co.,Ltd0.69%$0.1185.83%
603790.SSArgus (Shanghai) Textile Chemicals Co.,Ltd.0.69%$0.1345.04%
605488.SSZhejiang Fulai New Material Co.,Ltd.0.69%$0.2449.43%
EYAPS.ATThessaloniki Water Supply & Sewerage Co S.A.0.69%$0.039.65%
SKBNK.ISSekerbank T.A.S.0.69%$0.054.55%
VBNKVersaBank0.69%$0.1011.57%