Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.625% (BNH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.10 - $28.33$15.70
Multi-Stage$11.89 - $13.03$12.45
Blended Fair Value$14.08
Current Price$41.23
Upside-65.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.50%-0.90%0.210.190.370.570.390.330.310.290.270.25
YoY Growth--13.53%-50.40%-34.30%46.58%18.24%6.34%5.99%8.21%8.39%7.75%
Dividend Yield--0.60%0.67%1.72%1.85%1.60%2.05%1.80%2.09%2.04%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)996.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)702.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)293.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)199.20124.5074.70
Cash Retained (M)293.67293.67293.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-199.20-124.50-74.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.47169.17218.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,354.362,354.362,354.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.070.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.070.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate2.86%3.86%4.86%
Fair Value$10.10$15.70$28.33
Upside / Downside-75.52%-61.92%-31.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)996.001,034.491,074.461,115.981,159.101,203.891,240.00
Payout Ratio70.51%74.41%78.31%82.21%86.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)702.33769.78841.40917.40998.021,083.501,147.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate2.86%3.86%4.86%
Year 1 PV (M)717.10724.07731.04
Year 2 PV (M)730.18744.44758.85
Year 3 PV (M)741.65763.49785.76
Year 4 PV (M)751.61781.27811.79
Year 5 PV (M)760.15797.82836.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,292.8225,496.8226,748.10
Equity Value (M)27,993.5129,307.9230,672.52
Shares Outstanding (M)2,354.362,354.362,354.36
Fair Value$11.89$12.45$13.03
Upside / Downside-71.16%-69.81%-68.40%

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