Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dril-Quip, Inc. (DRQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.33 - $26.64$22.36
Multi-Stage$31.83 - $34.92$33.35
Blended Fair Value$27.85
Current Price$15.41
Upside80.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.250.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)74.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)73.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.7718.6111.16
Cash Retained (M)73.8873.8873.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.77-18.61-11.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.1155.2762.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.9259.9259.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.921.05
LTM Dividend per Share1.251.251.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.921.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.992.172.30
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.33$22.36$26.64
Upside / Downside18.95%45.08%72.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148.87147.38145.90144.44143.00141.57145.82
Payout Ratio50.37%58.30%66.22%74.15%82.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)74.9885.9196.62107.10117.37127.41134.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)78.2979.0979.89
Year 2 PV (M)80.2481.8883.55
Year 3 PV (M)81.0583.5686.12
Year 4 PV (M)80.9484.2987.75
Year 5 PV (M)80.0784.2488.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,506.561,585.021,666.70
Equity Value (M)1,907.161,998.082,092.59
Shares Outstanding (M)59.9259.9259.92
Fair Value$31.83$33.35$34.92
Upside / Downside106.56%116.40%126.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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