Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hitachi, Ltd. (6501.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,765.85 - $27,374.47$25,653.88
Multi-Stage$4,214.36 - $4,614.37$4,410.68
Blended Fair Value$15,032.28
Current Price$4,205.00
Upside257.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.57%13.05%41.1431.4128.0724.1821.0219.9516.8014.7012.6112.60
YoY Growth--30.98%11.89%16.06%15.05%5.36%18.79%14.25%16.63%0.05%4.44%
Dividend Yield--0.98%0.84%1.58%1.88%1.65%2.93%2.08%1.88%1.83%2.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)632,603.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)197,841.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)434,762.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)126,520.6079,075.3847,445.23
Cash Retained (M)434,762.00434,762.00434,762.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-126,520.60-79,075.38-47,445.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)308,241.40355,686.63387,316.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,595.854,595.854,595.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share67.0777.3984.28
LTM Dividend per Share43.0543.0543.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share67.0777.3984.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend110.12120.44127.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13,765.85$25,653.88$27,374.47
Upside / Downside227.37%510.08%551.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)632,603.00673,722.20717,514.14764,152.56813,822.47866,720.93892,722.56
Payout Ratio31.27%43.02%54.76%66.51%78.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)197,841.00289,830.53392,942.81508,235.17636,855.34780,048.84825,768.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)269,981.67272,540.74275,099.81
Year 2 PV (M)340,964.90347,459.32354,015.01
Year 3 PV (M)410,804.49422,597.21434,613.49
Year 4 PV (M)479,514.15497,954.91516,922.51
Year 5 PV (M)547,107.40573,532.89600,969.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,320,173.9418,156,744.8219,025,333.24
Equity Value (M)19,368,546.5520,270,829.9021,206,953.80
Shares Outstanding (M)4,595.854,595.854,595.85
Fair Value$4,214.36$4,410.68$4,614.37
Upside / Downside0.22%4.89%9.74%

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