Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Lily Group Co., Ltd. (603823.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.02 - $11.25$8.16
Multi-Stage$9.68 - $10.64$10.15
Blended Fair Value$9.15
Current Price$15.83
Upside-42.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.41%3.07%0.170.180.250.200.180.150.110.130.130.13
YoY Growth---9.14%-27.69%25.87%11.35%16.46%39.32%-12.72%-1.80%-3.32%9.26%
Dividend Yield--1.63%2.32%1.69%1.94%1.42%0.97%0.99%1.49%0.77%1.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)167.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)101.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.5320.9612.57
Cash Retained (M)101.40101.40101.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.53-20.96-12.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)67.8780.4488.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)415.46415.46415.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Fair Value$6.02$8.16$11.25
Upside / Downside-61.97%-48.48%-28.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)167.66171.12174.66178.27181.95185.71191.28
Payout Ratio39.52%49.62%59.71%69.81%79.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.2684.91104.29124.45145.39167.14176.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate1.07%2.07%3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)78.9579.7380.52
Year 2 PV (M)90.1891.9893.79
Year 3 PV (M)100.06103.06106.12
Year 4 PV (M)108.71113.07117.57
Year 5 PV (M)116.21122.07128.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,529.153,707.243,892.44
Equity Value (M)4,023.274,217.164,418.61
Shares Outstanding (M)415.46415.46415.46
Fair Value$9.68$10.15$10.64
Upside / Downside-38.83%-35.88%-32.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 10 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.3.53%$1.6554.01%
F-PCFord Motor Company 6% Notes due3.53%$0.7463.45%
TECTPTectonic Financial, Inc.3.53%$0.3879.28%
AMFCXAmerican Funds American Mutual Fund3.52%$2.0690.87%
CRCCalifornia Resources Corporation3.52%$1.6435.94%
FAFFirst American Financial Corporation3.51%$2.1446.13%
GICGlobal Industrial Company3.51%$1.0358.36%
0R0G.LMondelez International, Inc.3.50%$1.8969.92%
DCPDCP Midstream, LP3.50%$1.4634.00%
LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.3.50%$1.4870.35%
WSOWatsco, Inc.3.50%$12.1683.88%
0QYY.LHarley-Davidson, Inc.3.49%$0.7217.57%
LKFNLakeland Financial Corporation3.49%$1.9752.13%
TRSTTrustCo Bank Corp NY3.49%$1.4448.14%
OMCOmnicom Group Inc.3.47%$2.8341.26%
PROVProvident Financial Holdings, Inc.3.47%$0.5561.73%
UTLUnitil Corporation3.47%$1.7061.75%
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation3.45%$0.9152.84%
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc.3.45%$1.0070.38%
FCBPFirst Choice Bancorp3.45%$1.0034.34%
NXSTNexstar Media Group, Inc.3.45%$7.2042.75%
STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.3.45%$1.3529.75%
VABKVirginia National Bankshares Corporation3.45%$1.3755.94%
F-PBFord Motor Company 6.20% Notes3.44%$0.7463.45%
0K3B.LThe Mosaic Company3.43%$0.8722.53%
CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.3.43%$1.0743.87%
CTBICommunity Trust Bancorp, Inc.3.43%$1.9337.41%
IIINInsteel Industries, Inc.3.43%$1.1153.05%
JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.3.43%$3.1192.62%
TMPTompkins Financial Corporation3.43%$2.4942.22%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation3.41%$0.7739.09%
CNXCConcentrix Corporation3.41%$1.4028.16%
FBPFirst BanCorp.3.41%$0.7134.06%
GLOClough Global Opportunities Fund3.41%$0.1915.90%
OPBKOP Bancorp3.41%$0.4830.19%
PHXPHX Minerals Inc.3.39%$0.1581.44%
WHGWestwood Holdings Group, Inc.3.39%$0.6073.76%
SCVLShoe Carnival, Inc.3.38%$0.5928.17%
OGSONE Gas, Inc.3.37%$2.6161.93%
VALUValue Line, Inc.3.36%$1.2555.36%
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.3.36%$1.3054.79%
AVNTAvient Corporation3.35%$1.0686.14%
KTBKontoor Brands, Inc.3.35%$2.0653.00%
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings, Inc.3.35%$2.1548.89%
WAFDWaFd, Inc.3.35%$1.0837.44%
PBProsperity Bancshares, Inc.3.34%$2.3241.44%
PFGPrincipal Financial Group, Inc.3.34%$2.9943.04%
EVBNEvans Bancorp, Inc.3.33%$1.3160.97%
NFYSEnphys Acquisition Corp.3.33%$0.3768.70%
KMPRKemper Corporation3.32%$1.3132.45%