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Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. (SEI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.15 - $10.29$8.68
Multi-Stage$11.85 - $13.00$12.41
Blended Fair Value$10.55
Current Price$28.29
Upside-62.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.39%0.00%0.390.380.370.370.520.520.130.700.000.00
YoY Growth--3.75%1.94%1.80%-29.29%-0.44%308.66%-81.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.81%4.36%4.36%3.24%4.22%9.90%0.76%4.21%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.504.692.81
Cash Retained (M)20.6420.6420.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.50-4.69-2.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.1415.9517.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.0537.0537.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.430.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.890.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.15$8.68$10.29
Upside / Downside-74.72%-69.30%-63.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.5137.1336.7636.3936.0335.6736.74
Payout Ratio44.96%53.97%62.98%71.99%80.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.8720.0423.1526.2029.1832.1033.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.1818.3718.56
Year 2 PV (M)19.0619.4519.85
Year 3 PV (M)19.5720.1820.79
Year 4 PV (M)19.7820.6021.44
Year 5 PV (M)19.7420.7721.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)342.74360.58379.17
Equity Value (M)439.07459.95481.65
Shares Outstanding (M)37.0537.0537.05
Fair Value$11.85$12.41$13.00
Upside / Downside-58.11%-56.12%-54.05%

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