Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Jetwell Computer Co., Ltd. (3147.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$750.29 - $2,340.12$2,193.03
Multi-Stage$314.52 - $344.13$329.06
Blended Fair Value$1,261.04
Current Price$189.00
Upside567.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.53%0.00%4.454.013.561.631.631.320.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.11%12.50%118.48%0.00%23.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.06%3.20%6.41%3.85%3.96%5.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)515.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)195.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)320.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)103.0564.4138.64
Cash Retained (M)320.21320.21320.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-103.05-64.41-38.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)217.16255.81281.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.7943.7943.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.965.846.43
LTM Dividend per Share4.454.454.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.965.846.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4110.3010.88
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$750.29$2,193.03$2,340.12
Upside / Downside296.98%1,060.34%1,138.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)515.24548.73584.40622.38662.84705.92727.10
Payout Ratio37.85%48.28%58.71%69.14%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)195.03264.94343.11430.32527.42635.33672.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)245.68248.01250.34
Year 2 PV (M)295.05300.67306.35
Year 3 PV (M)343.16353.01363.05
Year 4 PV (M)390.03405.03420.46
Year 5 PV (M)435.69456.73478.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,062.5012,645.1313,250.05
Equity Value (M)13,772.1314,408.6015,068.83
Shares Outstanding (M)43.7943.7943.79
Fair Value$314.52$329.06$344.13
Upside / Downside66.41%74.10%82.08%

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