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Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Advertising AgenciesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.56 - $12.55$10.48
Multi-Stage$13.93 - $15.24$14.57
Blended Fair Value$12.53
Current Price$6.72
Upside86.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.26%0.00%0.750.570.000.000.250.500.370.000.000.00
YoY Growth--31.76%0.00%-100.00%-98.57%-49.25%33.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.16%4.85%0.00%0.03%2.37%10.88%6.40%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.652.281.37
Cash Retained (M)5.375.375.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.65-2.28-1.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.723.094.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.5116.5116.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.190.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.190.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.971.02
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate-1.11%-0.11%0.89%
Fair Value$8.56$10.48$12.55
Upside / Downside27.35%55.97%86.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.2418.2218.2018.1818.1618.1418.69
Payout Ratio70.58%74.46%78.35%82.23%86.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.8713.5714.2614.9515.6416.3317.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate-1.11%-0.11%0.89%
Year 1 PV (M)12.3112.4312.56
Year 2 PV (M)11.7411.9812.22
Year 3 PV (M)11.1711.5111.86
Year 4 PV (M)10.6011.0411.48
Year 5 PV (M)10.0410.5611.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)174.06183.04192.39
Equity Value (M)229.92240.56251.61
Shares Outstanding (M)16.5116.5116.51
Fair Value$13.93$14.57$15.24
Upside / Downside107.29%116.88%126.85%

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