Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Danieli & C. Officine Meccaniche S.p.A. (DANR.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.68 - $153.32$99.28
Multi-Stage$86.98 - $95.54$91.18
Blended Fair Value$95.23
Current Price$25.60
Upside271.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.300.270.170.140.150.100.100.100.10
YoY Growth---100.00%10.50%60.65%19.98%-6.61%45.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%-64.49%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.38%1.36%1.37%0.85%1.58%1.05%0.67%0.66%0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)282.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)258.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.5335.3321.20
Cash Retained (M)258.95258.95258.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.53-35.33-21.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)202.42223.62237.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.4879.4879.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.552.812.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.552.812.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.853.113.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.30%3.30%4.30%
Fair Value$68.68$99.28$153.32
Upside / Downside168.28%287.81%498.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)282.65291.98301.62311.58321.87332.49342.47
Payout Ratio8.39%24.71%41.03%57.35%73.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.7072.14123.76178.70237.14299.24316.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.30%3.30%4.30%
Year 1 PV (M)67.0667.7168.37
Year 2 PV (M)106.93109.03111.15
Year 3 PV (M)143.52147.77152.11
Year 4 PV (M)177.04184.06191.29
Year 5 PV (M)207.66218.01228.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,210.546,520.076,841.83
Equity Value (M)6,912.757,246.667,593.51
Shares Outstanding (M)79.4879.4879.48
Fair Value$86.98$91.18$95.54
Upside / Downside239.75%256.16%273.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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