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BCE Inc. (BCE-PA.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.32 - $124.98$98.03
Multi-Stage$145.84 - $160.34$152.95
Blended Fair Value$125.49
Current Price$30.20
Upside315.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.09%6.68%3.913.773.583.393.223.052.902.722.492.35
YoY Growth--3.64%5.25%5.75%5.28%5.53%5.23%6.65%8.98%6.27%14.58%
Dividend Yield--11.84%8.22%5.92%4.89%5.68%5.28%4.90%4.94%4.24%3.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,334.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,528.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,806.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,266.80791.75475.05
Cash Retained (M)3,806.003,806.003,806.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,266.80-791.75-475.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,539.203,014.253,330.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)924.00924.00924.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.753.263.60
LTM Dividend per Share2.742.742.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.753.263.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.486.006.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-0.50%0.50%1.50%
Fair Value$76.32$98.03$124.98
Upside / Downside152.71%224.59%313.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,334.006,365.386,396.916,428.606,460.456,492.456,687.22
Payout Ratio39.91%49.93%59.95%69.96%79.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,528.003,178.193,834.754,497.755,167.215,843.216,185.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.64%6.64%6.64%
Growth Rate-0.50%0.50%1.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,950.512,980.173,009.82
Year 2 PV (M)3,305.013,371.783,439.22
Year 3 PV (M)3,598.723,708.333,820.13
Year 4 PV (M)3,838.203,994.854,156.24
Year 5 PV (M)4,029.404,236.004,450.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)117,036.39123,037.31129,281.89
Equity Value (M)134,758.23141,328.42148,158.29
Shares Outstanding (M)924.00924.00924.00
Fair Value$145.84$152.95$160.34
Upside / Downside382.92%406.47%430.94%

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