Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Rise Consulting Group, Inc. (9168.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$557.72 - $853.82$696.04
Multi-Stage$1,175.21 - $1,295.19$1,234.02
Blended Fair Value$965.03
Current Price$1,076.00
Upside-10.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,540.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,322.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)308.04192.52115.51
Cash Retained (M)1,322.181,322.181,322.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-308.04-192.52-115.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,014.141,129.661,206.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.8224.8224.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share40.8545.5148.61
LTM Dividend per Share8.788.788.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share40.8545.5148.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend49.6354.2957.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$557.72$696.04$853.82
Upside / Downside-48.17%-35.31%-20.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,540.181,524.781,509.531,494.441,479.491,464.701,508.64
Payout Ratio14.15%29.32%44.49%59.66%74.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.00447.12671.63891.611,107.121,318.231,395.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)414.72418.96423.19
Year 2 PV (M)577.84589.69601.66
Year 3 PV (M)711.52733.53755.98
Year 4 PV (M)819.50853.46888.47
Year 5 PV (M)905.07952.201,001.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,744.9727,085.5728,481.44
Equity Value (M)29,173.6230,633.4032,152.02
Shares Outstanding (M)24.8224.8224.82
Fair Value$1,175.21$1,234.02$1,295.19
Upside / Downside9.22%14.69%20.37%

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