Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Xiangyang Changyuandonggu Industry Co., Ltd. (603950.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.12 - $15.59$12.66
Multi-Stage$22.25 - $24.51$23.36
Blended Fair Value$18.01
Current Price$36.86
Upside-51.14%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-25.17%0.00%0.090.060.350.070.960.380.150.420.020.29
YoY Growth--49.33%-82.89%414.83%-92.96%153.50%156.64%-65.02%1,791.19%-92.24%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.35%2.39%0.60%6.19%2.33%0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)349.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)255.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.8643.6726.20
Cash Retained (M)255.59255.59255.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.86-43.67-26.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)185.73211.93229.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)317.06317.06317.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.590.670.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.590.670.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.12$12.66$15.59
Upside / Downside-72.55%-65.65%-57.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)349.32345.83342.37338.95335.56332.20342.17
Payout Ratio26.83%39.47%52.10%64.73%77.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.73136.48178.37219.41259.61298.98316.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)126.81128.11129.40
Year 2 PV (M)153.99157.15160.34
Year 3 PV (M)176.00181.45187.00
Year 4 PV (M)193.50201.52209.78
Year 5 PV (M)207.06217.84229.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,196.436,519.106,855.06
Equity Value (M)7,053.797,405.157,770.65
Shares Outstanding (M)317.06317.06317.06
Fair Value$22.25$23.36$24.51
Upside / Downside-39.64%-36.64%-33.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

Page 1 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
ATOM3.SAAtom Empreendimentos e Participações S.A.19.90%$0.5871.92%
3698.HKHuishang Bank Corporation Limited19.56%$0.6428.80%
SVAV.MESollers Public Joint Stock Company19.34%$110.6440.44%
0536.HKTradelink Electronic Commerce Limited19.33%$0.2086.09%
3658.HKNew Hope Service Holdings Limited19.28%$0.3766.51%
0123.HKYuexiu Property Company Limited19.19%$0.7790.88%
0N7I.LCairo Communication S.p.A.19.19%$0.3654.94%
1798.HKChina Datang Corporation Renewable Power Co., Limited19.01%$0.4063.00%
LBS.TOLife & Banc Split Corp.19.00%$2.2540.31%
HMSB.DEH & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ)18.98%$3.2647.98%
0608.HKHigh Fashion International Limited18.79%$0.3150.08%
0U8N.LCredicorp Ltd.18.72%$53.8266.14%
CAASChina Automotive Systems, Inc.18.61%$0.8072.30%
KRSB.MEPJSC Krasnoyarskenergosbyt18.38%$4.0782.55%
1127.HKLion Rock Group Limited18.37%$0.2547.23%
HAVAS.ASHavas S.A.18.35%$3.1490.23%
1480.HKYan Tat Group Holdings Limited18.33%$0.2249.33%
NA-PC.TONational Bank of Canada18.32%$4.9348.59%
1412.HKQ P Group Holdings Limited18.24%$0.2973.74%
FVJ.FFortescue Metals Group Limited18.16%$2.2776.64%
YATO.MCAtom Hoteles SOCIMI, S.A.18.06%$2.8568.99%
0327.HKPAX Global Technology Limited17.98%$0.9261.66%
1MO.FHello Group Inc.17.92%$1.0440.52%
PIN.BKPinthong Industrial Park Public Company Limited17.92%$0.7680.79%
1883.HKCITIC Telecom International Holdings Limited17.86%$0.4487.51%
6896.HKGolden Throat Holdings Group Company Limited17.79%$0.5576.14%
VOT.WAVotum S.A.17.65%$8.1559.83%
ALTUR.PAAltur Investissement SCA, SCR17.58%$1.9337.11%
O7F1.FOdfjell SE17.55%$1.7873.02%
2219.HKChaoju Eye Care Holdings Limited17.38%$0.4784.16%
001390.KSKG Chemical Corporation17.24%$884.5197.69%
2360.HKBest Mart 360 Holdings Limited17.23%$0.3582.20%
ALSAS.PAStradim Espace Finances S.A.17.16%$0.8055.65%
9615.SRMufeed Company17.11%$5.3935.54%
LPPF.JKPT Matahari Department Store Tbk17.09%$300.0082.85%
0LNT.LFugro N.V.17.06%$1.5239.50%
0458.HKTristate Holdings Limited17.02%$0.3133.15%
2283.HKTK Group (Holdings) Limited16.99%$0.4372.10%
1263.HKPC Partner Group Limited16.85%$0.9063.10%
2603.TWEvergreen Marine Corporation (Taiwan) Ltd.16.83%$32.4977.53%
ALHRG.PAHerige16.78%$3.6697.55%
TD-PFJ.TOThe Toronto-Dominion Bank NCUM 5Y PFD SR1816.67%$4.3836.07%
S7MB.BESecuritas AB (publ)16.59%$2.2523.09%
1184.HKS.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited16.56%$0.7552.32%
PBR-APetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras16.54%$1.8786.52%
VRLA.PAVerallia S.A.16.47%$3.8397.79%
6668.HKE-Star Commercial Management Company Limited16.42%$0.2372.71%
0098.HKXingfa Aluminium Holdings Limited16.13%$1.1729.94%
ING.AXInghams Group Limited16.09%$0.4179.67%
1234.HKChina Lilang Limited16.04%$0.5466.61%