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Multiples Valuation: Choice Hotels International, Inc.

Choice Hotels International, Inc. (CHH)

Industry: Travel Lodging Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $116.22 — $192.32
Selected (Average) $142.14
Upside to Live 31.67%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $117.02 — $208.34
Selected (Average) $163.74
Upside to Live 51.68%
Live Price $107.95

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0OQ0.L 8 Pierre et Vacances 4,326 14.54 14.54 0.97 0.65 2.42 1.45
H 9 Hyatt Hotels Corpo 4,284 - - 26.03 26.03 23.03 13.31
1179.HK 10 H World Group Limi 3,521 1.94 1.94 4.45 4.45 4.31 6.07
0OHG.L 11 Minor Hotels Europ 2,909 10.47 10.47 8.78 7.32 6.39 5.42
0045.HK 12 The Hongkong and S 2,473 - - 9.76 9.95 22.73 18.54
FTAL.TA 13 Fattal Holdings (1 2,324 53.17 53.17 12.46 10.18 20.57 9.82
600754.SS 14 Shanghai Jin Jiang 1,918 44.43 43.91 18.76 15.80 12.93 26.33
CHH 15 Choice Hotels Inte 1,596 12.89 10.04 10.82 8.58 12.11 12.15
600138.SS 16 China Cyts Tours H 1,552 55.66 55.66 18.60 14.84 15.63 20.09
WH 17 Wyndham Hotels & R 1,436 18.06 18.06 14.03 12.47 12.86 9.22
MCG 18 Membership Collect 1,342 - - - - - 89.39
SHCO 19 Soho House & Co In 1,289 - - 22.40 22.40 - 176.82
600258.SS 20 BTG Hotels (Group) 1,085 19.56 19.56 14.48 7.51 11.49 19.97
STAY 21 Extended Stay Amer 1,036 37.51 38.64 14.46 15.35 32.58 7,911.17
INDHOTEL.BO 22 The Indian Hotels 1,020 60.82 60.82 33.74 19.44 61.62 21.74
0QS9.L 23 eDreams ODIGEO S.A 807 12.70 12.70 7.85 7.85 10.80 10.70

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple18.0618.0613.2410.0612.8613.31
Full Range Median Multiple19.5619.5614.2411.3212.9318.54
Industry Multiple29.9029.9514.7712.4518.26556.00
Market Implied Multiple13.0110.1410.908.6412.1912.24
Company (CHH) Multiple12.8910.0410.828.5812.1112.15
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue382490637804570568
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8,4428,0917,3287,559
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,0799,1047,36510,528
(-) Net Debt1,9761,9761,9761,9761,9761,976
Winsorized Equity Value6,9008,8566,4666,1155,3525,583
Full Range Median Equity Value7,4759,5947,1047,1295,3898,552
(/) Shares Outstanding464646464646
Winsorized Fair Value$149.84$192.32$140.42$132.80$116.22$121.25
Full Range Median Fair Value$162.32$208.34$154.26$154.80$117.02$185.71
Current Price$107.95$107.95$107.95$107.95$107.95$107.95
Upside / Downside38.81%78.16%30.08%23.02%7.66%12.32%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$104.89$134.63$98.29$92.96$81.35$84.87
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy