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Multiples Valuation: AGCO Corporation

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)

Industry: Agricultural - Machinery Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $18.00 — $71.87
Selected (Average) $47.64
Upside to Live -57.21%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $24.64 — $88.20
Selected (Average) $55.46
Upside to Live -50.19%
Live Price $111.35

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
IVG.MI 10 Iveco Group N.V. 17,390 13.80 13.80 4.89 4.89 7.76 8.68
600710.SS 11 Sumec Corporation 16,699 10.97 9.27 3.11 2.86 2.97 2.96
MAN3.DE 12 MAN SE 16,089 74.00 101.88 7.47 7.89 - 189.05
000425.SZ 13 XCMG Construction 14,348 20.01 17.11 17.13 14.64 23.94 19.58
KGX.DE 14 Kion Group AG 13,231 27.71 27.35 7.31 6.89 18.21 25.11
600031.SS 15 Sany Heavy Industr 12,224 23.89 26.76 18.92 20.78 22.84 24.14
OSK 16 Oshkosh Corporatio 10,332 12.40 10.74 7.73 6.73 8.88 8.51
AGCO 17 AGCO Corporation 10,049 21.28 18.83 19.72 20.27 15.76 14.33
6305.T 18 Hitachi Constructi 8,734 11.52 8.22 6.29 5.21 9.65 7.80
NAV 19 Navistar Internati 7,714 - - 32.41 36.54 55.48 -
000951.SZ 20 Sinotruk Jinan Tru 7,357 12.61 12.79 8.40 8.84 10.13 8.86
0YSU.L 21 Epiroc AB (publ) 6,791 27.84 25.21 16.46 14.75 21.31 18.36
1157.HK 22 Zoomlion Heavy Ind 6,500 11.73 12.64 10.24 11.22 8.80 12.33
KMAZ.ME 23 KAMAZ Publicly Tra 6,454 - - 13.84 13.84 - 13.87
0631.HK 24 Sany Heavy Equipme 6,186 7.52 4.66 7.47 3.78 12.51 -
241560.KS 25 Doosan Bobcat Inc. 5,850 11.99 10.06 4.17 3.41 9.67 6.38

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.4012.647.476.899.678.86
Full Range Median Multiple12.6112.797.737.8910.1312.33
Industry Multiple20.4621.5811.0510.8216.3226.59
Market Implied Multiple22.1319.5820.3520.9116.2614.79
Company (AGCO) Multiple21.2818.8319.7220.2715.7614.33
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue375424511497639703
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,8143,4266,1786,225
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,9453,9216,4718,663
(-) Net Debt2,0832,0832,0832,0832,0832,083
Winsorized Equity Value4,6525,3621,7311,3434,0954,142
Full Range Median Equity Value4,7315,4251,8621,8384,3886,580
(/) Shares Outstanding757575757575
Winsorized Fair Value$62.36$71.87$23.21$18.00$54.89$55.52
Full Range Median Fair Value$63.42$72.72$24.96$24.64$58.82$88.20
Current Price$111.35$111.35$111.35$111.35$111.35$111.35
Upside / Downside-43.99%-35.45%-79.16%-83.83%-50.70%-50.14%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$43.65$50.31$16.25$12.60$38.43$38.87
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy