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Multiples Valuation: PJSC ALROSA-Nyurba

PJSC ALROSA-Nyurba (ALNU.ME)

Industry: Other Precious Metals Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $28,376.07 — $281,012.68
Selected (Average) $139,743.22
Upside to Live 113.67%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $30,484.05 — $317,528.74
Selected (Average) $170,310.98
Upside to Live 160.41%
Live Price $65,400.00

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
2099.HK 12 China Gold Interna 818 12.16 5.03 2.26 1.22 7.02 6.91
FSM 13 Fortuna Mining Cor 779 8.70 5.43 2.88 1.97 2.98 3.04
AUGO 14 Aura Minerals 772 - - 12.49 12.49 3.75 5.59
29M.AX 15 29Metals Limited 681 - - 17.40 17.40 2.34 -
BDM.AX 16 Burgundy Diamond M 573 - - 0.85 0.27 0.05 0.48
FRES.L 17 Fresnillo plc 377 20.70 17.22 5.31 4.58 4.03 6.03
GEMD.L 18 Gem Diamonds Limit 359 - - 0.67 0.82 - 21.28
ALNU.ME 19 PJSC ALROSA-Nyurba 329 3.78 4.01 3.32 3.58 8.65 3.54
1322.SR 20 Al Masane Al Kobra 260 25.94 25.94 11.25 7.93 15.47 19.21
TFPM 21 Triple Flag Precio 249 23.27 23.27 16.64 12.40 20.69 14.48
EXK 22 Endeavour Silver C 239 - - - - - -
A1M.AX 23 AIC Mines Limited 226 13.53 20.79 1.99 1.04 1.81 1.89
SILV 24 SilverCrest Metals 203 16.02 16.02 7.48 7.48 8.69 9.28
ITRG 25 Integra Resources 158 38.19 38.19 8.78 8.78 5.34 8.40
LUC.ST 26 Lucara Diamond Cor 148 1.15 1.15 0.89 0.73 0.92 0.54
301611.SZ 27 Suzhou Kematek Inc 147 77.64 77.64 66.05 66.05 90.00 71.33

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple16.0217.224.103.273.756.03
Full Range Median Multiple18.3619.016.396.034.036.91
Industry Multiple23.7323.0711.0710.2312.5512.96
Market Implied Multiple3.784.013.323.588.653.54
Company (ALNU.ME) Multiple3.784.013.323.588.653.54
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue17116219518175183
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8005922811,104
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,2471,0903021,265
(-) Net Debt000000
Winsorized Equity Value2,7452,7848005922811,104
Full Range Median Equity Value3,1453,0721,2471,0903021,265
(/) Shares Outstanding000000
Winsorized Fair Value$277,076.14$281,012.68$80,722.17$59,801.95$28,376.07$111,470.31
Full Range Median Fair Value$317,528.74$310,125.80$125,935.11$110,037.64$30,484.05$127,754.53
Current Price$65,400.00$65,400.00$65,400.00$65,400.00$65,400.00$65,400.00
Upside / Downside323.66%329.68%23.43%-8.56%-56.61%70.44%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$193,953.30$196,708.88$56,505.52$41,861.36$19,863.25$78,029.22
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUY