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Multiples Valuation: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)

Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.27 — $15.19
Selected (Average) $9.67
Upside to Live -64.73%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $5.65 — $18.51
Selected (Average) $12.67
Upside to Live -53.78%
Live Price $27.41

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
PEP 1 PepsiCo, Inc. 92,364 27.75 27.60 17.07 16.69 17.03 17.53
CCEP 2 Coca-Cola Europaci 53,549 11.48 9.24 7.22 5.79 8.52 8.13
KO 3 The Coca-Cola Comp 47,663 21.69 19.83 17.07 15.81 19.92 19.60
CCH.L 4 Coca-Cola HBC AG 27,077 10.37 8.52 6.49 5.48 7.23 6.97
KDP 5 Keurig Dr Pepper I 16,174 21.91 21.07 14.46 13.98 12.99 18.39
AGHOL.IS 6 AG Anadolu Grubu H 15,031 27.63 20.82 1.26 0.74 2.69 8.88
9633.HK 7 Nongfu Spring Co., 12,876 15.79 15.79 11.19 11.19 10.83 13.45
KOFUBL.MX 8 Coca-Cola FEMSA, S 12,156 21.53 18.85 13.98 13.36 10,427,311.95 13.95
0220.HK 9 Uni-President Chin 8,720 9.53 7.66 5.49 4.86 5.37 5.31
0K34.L 10 Monster Beverage C 7,975 38.57 35.82 26.78 24.72 23.81 26.41
0I0T.L 11 Coca-Cola Consolid 7,070 14.43 9.96 9.65 7.94 9.47 7.81
PRMB 12 Primo Brands Corpo 6,507 - - 9.70 6.69 14.50 10.22
0506.HK 13 China Foods Limite 5,496 4.69 4.69 0.54 0.54 0.53 0.77
CCOLA.IS 14 Coca-Cola Içecek 3,874 9.16 5.68 4.12 2.50 3.94 4.62
2097.HK 15 Mixue Group 3,744 38.09 38.09 26.99 26.99 25.11 29.22
AKO-A 16 Embotelladora Andi 3,689 10.69 9.67 7.01 6.50 10.60 7.44

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.959.827.226.509.478.13
Full Range Median Multiple15.1112.889.656.6910.608.88
Industry Multiple18.6716.5910.979.99695,164.7712.02
Market Implied Multiple23.5422.6415.1814.6813.6419.30
Company (KDP) Multiple21.9121.0714.4613.9812.9918.39
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,5821,6453,5763,6993,9802,813
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A25,82524,03437,69522,862
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A34,50024,73642,20724,992
(-) Net Debt17,06417,06417,06417,06417,06417,064
Winsorized Equity Value20,49116,1438,7616,97020,6315,798
Full Range Median Equity Value23,90421,17517,4367,67225,1437,928
(/) Shares Outstanding1,3591,3591,3591,3591,3591,359
Winsorized Fair Value$15.08$11.88$6.45$5.13$15.19$4.27
Full Range Median Fair Value$17.60$15.59$12.83$5.65$18.51$5.84
Current Price$27.41$27.41$27.41$27.41$27.41$27.41
Upside / Downside-44.97%-56.65%-76.47%-81.28%-44.59%-84.43%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$10.56$8.32$4.51$3.59$10.63$2.99
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy