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Multiples Valuation: First Commonwealth Financial Corporation

First Commonwealth Financial Corporation (FCF)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $13.55 — $18.08
Selected (Average) $15.80
Upside to Live -9.58%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $16.19 — $20.19
Selected (Average) $18.21
Upside to Live 4.24%
Live Price $17.47

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
TFSL 389 TFS Financial Corp 792 40.39 39.68 58.90 58.49 62.53 68.85
8381.T 390 The San-in Godo Ba 791 9.88 8.41 1.79 1.49 1.34 1.20
47T.F 391 TISCO Financial Gr 783 11.88 11.72 11.06 10.92 11.51 11.71
VBTX 392 Veritex Holdings, 781 12.25 11.50 9.94 9.28 10.64 10.45
QIIK.QA 393 Qatar Internationa 777 12.47 11.66 12.62 11.46 7.33 11.99
FMBI 394 First Midwest Banc 751 11.59 9.93 5.23 4.57 5.77 4.91
BHLB 395 Berkshire Hills Ba 732 119.04 119.04 18.41 18.41 - 20.80
FCF 396 First Commonwealth 716 12.47 10.94 9.75 8.66 8.77 8.85
MCHB 397 Mechanics Bank 699 18.96 13.34 8.78 6.41 8.93 7.07
CASH 398 Pathward Financial 685 9.04 8.06 5.67 5.15 7.75 6.18
OCFC 399 OceanFirst Financi 673 12.56 11.60 23.01 21.22 29.91 23.81
DCOM 400 Dime Community Ban 670 21.99 20.79 4.07 3.72 2.48 3.92
1983.HK 401 Luzhou Bank Co., L 664 3.90 3.90 5.92 5.92 1.59 3.99
PRK 402 Park National Corp 661 14.88 13.46 11.31 10.26 11.08 10.76
SASR 403 Sandy Spring Banco 661 76.32 108.62 22.96 27.23 - -
8522.T 404 The Bank of Nagoya 656 10.69 8.19 -20.69 -16.74 -17.83 -8.01

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.2511.609.367.857.547.07
Full Range Median Multiple12.4711.6610.509.778.3410.45
Industry Multiple25.7226.6614.2613.8913.4114.28
Market Implied Multiple12.7711.219.998.878.999.07
Company (FCF) Multiple12.4710.949.758.668.778.85
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue143163186210207205
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,7461,6471,5631,452
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,9582,0511,7292,147
(-) Net Debt323232323232
Winsorized Equity Value1,7551,8941,7141,6151,5311,420
Full Range Median Equity Value1,7861,9041,9262,0191,6962,115
(/) Shares Outstanding105105105105105105
Winsorized Fair Value$16.75$18.08$16.36$15.42$14.61$13.55
Full Range Median Fair Value$17.05$18.17$18.38$19.27$16.19$20.19
Current Price$17.47$17.47$17.47$17.47$17.47$17.47
Upside / Downside-4.11%3.49%-6.37%-11.75%-16.36%-22.41%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$11.73$12.66$11.45$10.79$10.23$9.49
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy