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Multiples Valuation: National Fuel Gas Company

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $23.95 — $183.66
Selected (Average) $77.96
Upside to Live -4.01%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $61.09 — $199.25
Selected (Average) $91.96
Upside to Live 13.23%
Live Price $81.21

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BANE.ME 26 Public Joint Stock 14,150 4.18 4.13 2.32 2.30 3.67 3.10
ELPE.AT 27 HELLENiQ ENERGY Ho 13,506 14.34 14.34 7.40 7.40 5.98 13.20
TANNZ 28 TravelCenters of A 10,787 7.32 4.72 6.36 5.35 1,255.79 12.31
PETB.L 29 OMV Petrom S.A. 10,521 9.69 9.48 1.99 1.88 2.20 2.90
EQNR.OL 30 Equinor ASA 10,484 11.56 11.56 2.26 1.87 4.32 3.18
0346.HK 31 Yanchang Petroleum 7,128 1.86 1.86 0.65 0.57 - 25.12
600256.SS 32 Guanghui Energy Co 4,624 16.35 14.58 9.17 8.74 21.73 15.55
NFG 33 National Fuel Gas 2,268 16.10 16.10 8.52 6.43 15.49 7.07
SNGR.L 34 SNGN Romgaz S.A. 1,845 60.82 53.81 37.68 32.77 40.27 26.62
TGSU2.BA 35 Transportadora de 1,038 11.57 11.57 5.99 5.99 7.80 8.12
1251.HK 36 SPT Energy Group I 503 - - - - - -
002259.SZ 37 Sichuan Shengda Fo 133 59.14 59.14 36.70 36.70 41.39 41.16
YAKG.ME 38 PJSC Yakutsk Fuel 133 75.26 109.53 16.38 19.39 35.90 15.91
TELZ 39 Tellurian Inc. 8.2 109 - - - - - -
0228.HK 40 China Energy Devel 75 8.22 8.22 2.37 2.37 2.69 2.78
SLNG 41 Stabilis Solutions 72 79.96 79.96 9.98 7.73 18.74 448.52

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.5611.565.995.356.8912.31
Full Range Median Multiple11.5711.576.365.9913.2713.20
Industry Multiple27.7129.4510.7110.24120.0447.58
Market Implied Multiple14.1514.157.755.8414.096.43
Company (NFG) Multiple16.1016.108.526.4315.497.07
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue5195191,3061,7337191,575
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7,8209,2754,95419,387
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8,31110,3729,54320,795
(-) Net Debt2,7902,7902,7902,7902,7902,790
Winsorized Equity Value5,9955,9955,0306,4852,16416,597
Full Range Median Equity Value5,9985,9985,5217,5826,75318,005
(/) Shares Outstanding909090909090
Winsorized Fair Value$66.35$66.35$55.66$71.77$23.95$183.66
Full Range Median Fair Value$66.37$66.37$61.09$83.90$74.73$199.25
Current Price$81.21$81.21$81.21$81.21$81.21$81.21
Upside / Downside-18.30%-18.30%-31.46%-11.63%-70.51%126.16%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$46.44$46.44$38.96$50.24$16.77$128.56
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUY