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Multiples Valuation: Southern Copper Corporation

Southern Copper Corporation (0L8B.L)

Industry: Industrial Materials Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $58.45 — $94.44
Selected (Average) $77.67
Upside to Live -57.03%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $62.82 — $117.63
Selected (Average) $89.52
Upside to Live -50.47%
Live Price $180.74

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0NHS.L 15 Nutrien Ltd. 19,261 15.74 8.73 7.25 6.17 12.83 8.83
0I0H.L 16 Cleveland-Cliffs I 18,622 - - - - - -
VAS.DE 17 Voestalpine AG 17,957 27.71 27.71 9.74 9.36 9.78 14.27
VEDL.BO 18 Vedanta Limited 17,290 15.14 15.14 6.48 5.73 9.61 4.13
002237.SZ 19 Shandong Humon Sme 13,353 27.12 22.85 21.77 22.90 32.28 33.48
0HCB.L 20 Alcoa Corporation 13,264 7.29 7.29 5.85 5.05 58.96 4.03
601212.SS 21 Baiyin Nonferrous 12,828 175.83 147.04 11.14 8.92 11.42 17.06
0L8B.L 22 Southern Copper Co 12,335 26.13 21.01 14.33 12.35 14.60 14.12
5711.T 23 Mitsubishi Materia 12,075 32.85 32.85 8.52 6.59 - 38.24
0K3B.L 24 The Mosaic Company 11,895 8.95 8.95 5.28 5.28 11.52 15.31
603799.SS 25 Zhejiang Huayou Co 10,559 21.18 14.16 14.13 9.74 15.80 13.13
0521.HK 26 CWT International 10,403 3.11 3.11 5.01 3.21 6.48 8.74
5713.T 27 Sumitomo Metal Min 10,128 53.97 62.20 24.24 27.13 13.91 -
0HUR.L 28 Celanese Corporati 9,710 - - - - - -
010130.KS 29 Korea Zinc Company 9,671 37.10 39.52 13.63 12.82 18.62 23.81
601168.SS 30 Western Mining Co. 8,763 16.67 13.33 7.39 6.08 7.66 7.55

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple16.6714.167.396.1711.4710.98
Full Range Median Multiple21.1815.148.526.5912.1713.70
Industry Multiple34.0530.9910.809.9217.4115.72
Market Implied Multiple38.9131.3021.1118.1921.5120.80
Company (0L8B.L) Multiple26.1321.0114.3312.3514.6014.12
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue3,8214,7517,2088,3647,0757,317
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A53,23551,56881,16980,336
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A61,38855,15686,125100,242
(-) Net Debt3,4833,4833,4833,4833,4833,483
Winsorized Equity Value63,70067,25349,75248,08577,68676,853
Full Range Median Equity Value80,93471,93757,90551,67382,64196,759
(/) Shares Outstanding823823823823823823
Winsorized Fair Value$77.44$81.76$60.48$58.45$94.44$93.43
Full Range Median Fair Value$98.39$87.45$70.39$62.82$100.46$117.63
Current Price$180.74$180.74$180.74$180.74$180.74$180.74
Upside / Downside-57.16%-54.77%-66.54%-67.66%-47.75%-48.31%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$54.21$57.23$42.34$40.92$66.11$65.40
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy