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Multiples Valuation: Norfolk Southern Corporation

Norfolk Southern Corporation (0K8M.L)

Industry: General Transportation Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $175.38 — $218.89
Selected (Average) $197.38
Upside to Live -32.31%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $181.30 — $266.61
Selected (Average) $221.43
Upside to Live -24.06%
Live Price $291.58

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0L8F.L 1 Southwest Airlines 27,551 46.14 46.14 9.13 9.13 144.23 64.10
0HQW.L 2 C.H. Robinson Worl 16,505 26.56 25.16 17.71 16.59 19.59 20.52
0HRJ.L 3 CSX Corporation 14,996 22.97 22.80 13.53 13.28 19.99 18.22
0OPN.L 4 Compagnie de l'Ode 14,235 7.73 6.33 5.06 6.00 6.91 7.15
0K8M.L 5 Norfolk Southern C 12,230 22.76 21.06 13.83 12.91 20.18 19.12
0HK4.L 6 Avis Budget Group, 11,698 - - 14.26 14.36 11.89 27.88
0NY3.L 7 STEF S.a. 11,200 6.39 5.49 3.65 3.06 13.94 6.49
0M1O.L 8 XPO Logistics, Inc 8,066 44.96 25.36 15.79 15.46 22.64 23.99
0QAG.L 9 ID Logistics Group 7,622 26.50 20.70 9.38 7.22 17.02 28.04
O3P.DE 10 Österreichische P 3,647 15.80 15.34 4.10 3.86 7.13 6.54
AEBI 11 Aebi Schmidt Hol 1,518 99.85 99.85 12.41 12.41 14.56 16.37
0RHU.L 12 Flughafen Wien AG 1,278 20.20 15.87 9.69 8.55 11.65 13.45
0R88.L 13 Allane SE 724 - - 9.82 9.99 87.76 -
0QNG.L 14 Jungfraubahn Holdi 591 8.31 7.12 5.04 4.51 6.41 4.79
0N0B.L 15 Wallenius Wilhelms 523 3.13 3.13 2.51 2.02 2.92 2.17
ARII 16 American Railcar I 495 5.97 5.38 9.21 9.59 27.02 22.94

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple15.8015.349.218.5513.9414.91
Full Range Median Multiple20.2015.879.389.1314.5617.29
Industry Multiple25.7322.989.429.0727.5818.76
Market Implied Multiple22.0920.4413.5012.6119.7018.66
Company (0K8M.L) Multiple22.7621.0613.8312.9120.1819.12
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue2,9623,2016,0066,4334,1164,345
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A55,32755,02057,36464,775
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A56,34958,72659,94175,149
(-) Net Debt15,66515,66515,66515,66515,66515,665
Winsorized Equity Value46,81249,11939,66239,35541,69949,110
Full Range Median Equity Value59,82850,80240,68443,06144,27659,484
(/) Shares Outstanding224224224224224224
Winsorized Fair Value$208.61$218.89$176.75$175.38$185.82$218.85
Full Range Median Fair Value$266.61$226.39$181.30$191.89$197.31$265.08
Current Price$291.58$291.58$291.58$291.58$291.58$291.58
Upside / Downside-28.46%-24.93%-39.38%-39.85%-36.27%-24.94%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$146.03$153.22$123.72$122.77$130.08$153.20
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy