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Multiples Valuation: Hang Lung Group Limited

Hang Lung Group Limited (0010.HK)

Industry: Real Estate - Diversified Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.33 — $44.96
Selected (Average) $28.45
Upside to Live 75.16%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $28.37 — $76.76
Selected (Average) $50.86
Upside to Live 213.19%
Live Price $16.24

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
NXI.PA 9 Nexity S.A. 6,471 - - 11.31 13.37 - -
0978.HK 10 China Merchants La 5,726 - - 18.10 21.82 - 35.80
0207.HK 11 Joy City Property 4,879 - - 6.26 5.23 0.73 0.46
0672.HK 12 Zhong An Group Lim 3,920 1.61 1.68 2.63 1.50 8.05 1.61
TQ5.SI 13 Frasers Property L 3,297 14.43 17.68 17.28 17.20 21.06 18.13
000736.SZ 14 CCCG Real Estate C 2,970 3.06 2.72 - - - -
8905.T 15 AEON Mall Co., Ltd 2,889 32.43 38.63 9.61 9.52 17.12 22.07
0010.HK 16 Hang Lung Group Li 2,872 5.43 6.90 5.13 5.13 5.31 5.58
0041.HK 17 Great Eagle Holdin 2,810 - - 4.95 4.73 6.56 5.69
1240.HK 18 CNQC International 2,635 - - 4.28 4.91 4.81 7.54
600415.SS 19 Zhejiang China Com 2,581 24.52 19.52 16.98 13.45 11.36 14.93
NRP.AS 20 NEPI Rockcastle S. 2,283 4.33 3.50 5.89 4.70 4.26 3.95
002314.SZ 21 Shenzhen New Nansh 2,153 - - 23.24 23.15 10.04 214.66
HHH 22 Howard Hughes Hold 1,834 17.63 17.63 10.81 9.11 11.43 15.32
HHC 23 The Howard Hughes 1,773 5.22 5.22 7.13 4.68 11.55 6.44
0QOG.L 24 Swiss Prime Site A 1,664 13.40 14.33 14.27 14.27 13.84 13.49

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple5.225.228.377.179.057.54
Full Range Median Multiple13.4014.3310.219.3210.7013.49
Industry Multiple12.9613.4310.9110.5510.0727.70
Market Implied Multiple6.458.205.435.435.625.90
Company (0010.HK) Multiple5.436.905.135.135.315.58
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue4423481,5221,5221,4701,400
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A12,73310,90813,30710,550
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A15,53314,17515,73618,893
(-) Net Debt5,4105,4105,4105,4105,4105,410
Winsorized Equity Value2,3071,8157,3235,4997,8975,140
Full Range Median Equity Value5,9234,98410,1238,76610,32613,484
(/) Shares Outstanding176176176176176176
Winsorized Fair Value$13.13$10.33$41.69$31.30$44.96$29.26
Full Range Median Fair Value$33.72$28.37$57.63$49.90$58.79$76.76
Current Price$16.24$16.24$16.24$16.24$16.24$16.24
Upside / Downside-19.14%-36.37%156.71%92.76%176.83%80.19%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$9.19$7.23$29.18$21.91$31.47$20.48
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYBUY