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Multiples Valuation: Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS)

Industry: Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $114.04 — $188.15
Selected (Average) $136.98
Upside to Live -14.01%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $120.38 — $204.85
Selected (Average) $150.94
Upside to Live -5.25%
Live Price $159.30

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
FBIN 20 Fortune Brands Inn 4,490 19.51 21.18 11.86 12.27 17.88 16.63
002380.KS 21 KCC Corporation 4,460 2.40 2.40 3.99 3.20 15.19 11.13
NIBE-B.ST 22 NIBE Industrier AB 4,394 26.20 25.13 18.76 18.16 20.84 19.66
5929.T 23 Sanwa Holdings Cor 4,226 14.95 12.05 8.34 7.05 8.74 8.45
002271.SZ 24 Beijing Oriental Y 3,826 - - 27.13 34.26 27.33 11,441.42
000786.SZ 25 Beijing New Buildi 3,600 12.94 12.36 9.50 9.20 14.64 11.46
JELD 26 JELD-WEN Holding, 3,305 - - - - 129.93 -
WMS 27 Advanced Drainage 2,987 23.53 19.44 12.99 12.25 12.77 14.18
BXC 28 BlueLinx Holdings 2,949 41.61 53.82 10.54 11.86 22.93 21.05
DOOR 29 Masonite Internati 2,773 20.42 18.04 11.50 9.91 19.17 14.98
601865.SS 30 Flat Glass Group C 2,348 115.91 143.73 20.42 18.73 21.13 108.20
SSD 31 Simpson Manufactur 2,311 20.19 17.84 12.05 10.46 12.61 13.56
5932.T 32 Sankyo Tateyama, I 2,309 - - 8.75 8.74 - 59.57
601636.SS 33 Zhuzhou Kibing Gro 2,247 32.17 39.33 23.11 26.76 146.57 78.91
108670.KS 34 LX Hausys, Ltd. 2,238 - - 4.51 4.85 10.03 20.22
LAMOSA.MX 35 Grupo Lamosa, S.A. 1,947 112.51 97.21 15.29 12.87 16.27 13.54

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple20.1918.0411.0210.1917.0715.81
Full Range Median Multiple20.4221.1811.6811.1618.5218.15
Industry Multiple38.0740.2813.2713.4534.52845.63
Market Implied Multiple27.0222.3214.8213.9714.5616.18
Company (WMS) Multiple23.5319.4412.9912.2512.7714.18
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue458555878931893804
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A9,6739,48515,24712,709
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A10,25310,39016,54614,589
(-) Net Debt618618618618618618
Winsorized Equity Value9,25510,0089,0558,86714,62912,091
Full Range Median Equity Value9,36011,7519,6359,77215,92713,971
(/) Shares Outstanding787878787878
Winsorized Fair Value$119.03$128.71$116.46$114.04$188.15$155.51
Full Range Median Fair Value$120.38$151.14$123.92$125.68$204.85$179.68
Current Price$159.30$159.30$159.30$159.30$159.30$159.30
Upside / Downside-25.28%-19.20%-26.89%-28.41%18.11%-2.38%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$83.32$90.10$81.52$79.83$131.71$108.86
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy