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Multiples Valuation: Wingstop Inc.

Wingstop Inc. (WING)

Industry: Restaurants Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $65.82 — $154.74
Selected (Average) $111.08
Upside to Live -59.80%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $71.29 — $171.27
Selected (Average) $128.43
Upside to Live -53.52%
Live Price $276.31

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
STKS 67 The ONE Group Hosp 821 - - 5.03 3.27 - 7.13
0052.HK 68 Fairwood Holdings 796 10.86 14.70 1.12 1.01 9.51 9.82
3097.T 69 The Monogatari Cor 796 23.98 14.25 10.53 8.01 16.33 13.11
603043.SS 70 Guangzhou Restaura 753 18.34 17.74 14.03 13.41 4.80 14.66
PTLO 71 Portillo's Inc. 731 32.20 32.20 16.66 16.66 37.48 27.44
9873.T 72 KFC Holdings Japan 707 34.83 32.80 14.40 13.10 134.40 20.94
SG 73 Sweetgreen, Inc. 685 - - - - - -
WING 74 Wingstop Inc. 683 39.62 28.36 22.89 16.82 34.35 30.78
6015.SR 75 Americana Restaura 660 25.55 25.55 9.29 9.29 21.12 21.95
0573.HK 76 Tao Heung Holdings 644 - - 1.45 1.81 - -
9658.HK 77 Super Hi Internati 623 19.63 19.63 5.65 5.65 53.71 11.87
IBS.LS 78 Ibersol, S.G.P.S., 614 22.86 22.86 3.65 3.21 7.00 19.13
2723.TW 79 Gourmet Master Co. 593 - - 6.17 7.15 - 23.87
DEVYANI.BO 80 Devyani Internatio 580 - - 28.53 22.04 152.75 93.20
7522.T 81 Watami Co., Ltd. 578 10.12 10.12 3.77 3.77 6.02 5.36
FAT 82 FAT Brands Inc. 574 - - - - - -

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple19.6317.745.655.6516.3313.88
Full Range Median Multiple22.8619.636.177.1518.7316.89
Industry Multiple22.0421.109.258.3444.3122.37
Market Implied Multiple44.2431.6725.6318.8438.4634.46
Company (WING) Multiple39.6228.3622.8916.8234.3530.78
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue174243294400196219
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,6602,2593,1983,034
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,8132,8603,6673,692
(-) Net Debt-176-176-176-176-176-176
Winsorized Equity Value3,4214,3171,8362,4353,3753,211
Full Range Median Equity Value3,9834,7781,9893,0363,8443,868
(/) Shares Outstanding282828282828
Winsorized Fair Value$122.61$154.74$65.82$87.29$120.96$115.08
Full Range Median Fair Value$142.78$171.27$71.29$108.83$137.77$138.66
Current Price$276.31$276.31$276.31$276.31$276.31$276.31
Upside / Downside-55.63%-44.00%-76.18%-68.41%-56.22%-58.35%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$85.82$108.32$46.07$61.10$84.68$80.56
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy