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Multiples Valuation: Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation

Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB)

Industry: Railroads Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $64.86 — $111.60
Selected (Average) $92.76
Upside to Live -59.60%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $73.37 — $124.55
Selected (Average) $104.83
Upside to Live -54.34%
Live Price $229.60

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
9020.T 5 East Japan Railway 18,734 15.31 15.31 10.28 8.86 18.01 15.37
0066.HK 6 MTR Corporation Li 15,010 6.49 6.65 4.22 3.94 5.94 4.97
9022.T 7 Central Japan Rail 12,464 7.89 4.36 7.58 6.07 8.20 6.78
CNI 8 Canadian National 11,621 19.00 18.14 9.77 9.29 17.70 12.82
9021.T 9 West Japan Railway 11,360 11.34 11.34 7.56 5.15 11.87 14.26
CP 10 Canadian Pacific K 10,900 15.90 14.06 10.22 8.97 15.84 13.71
601006.SS 11 Daqin Railway Co., 10,854 17.82 19.46 6.41 7.23 8.07 8.12
WAB 12 Westinghouse Air B 10,785 28.97 24.01 17.09 14.95 19.83 18.80
C52.SI 13 ComfortDelGro Corp 6,906 7.41 7.11 2.73 2.54 5.68 5.37
601816.SS 14 Beijing-Shanghai H 6,047 19.23 15.15 12.32 10.77 12.72 12.55
GOG.L 15 The Go-Ahead Group 5,214 - - 1.53 1.23 9.50 9.91
AZJ.AX 16 Aurizon Holdings L 5,095 7.48 7.77 3.39 3.30 7.94 6.58
000927.SZ 17 China Railway Mate 4,868 33.29 33.29 23.42 21.18 28.56 28.55
688009.SS 18 China Railway Sign 4,746 16.66 16.88 11.63 11.86 16.83 11.48
9001.T 19 Tobu Railway Co., 4,048 9.87 7.22 8.34 7.44 16.48 14.76
601333.SS 20 Guangshen Railway 4,016 18.10 18.10 7.54 4.31 94.46 18.05

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple13.3212.707.566.0711.8711.48
Full Range Median Multiple15.6014.617.587.2312.7212.55
Industry Multiple14.7013.928.467.4818.5212.22
Market Implied Multiple33.1827.5019.2716.8622.3521.20
Company (WAB) Multiple28.9724.0117.0914.9519.8318.80
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,1801,4232,2782,6041,9642,071
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A17,21815,81523,31123,785
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A17,26618,82224,98825,993
(-) Net Debt4,7574,7574,7574,7574,7574,757
Winsorized Equity Value15,72018,07312,46111,05818,55419,028
Full Range Median Equity Value18,41320,79012,50914,06520,23121,236
(/) Shares Outstanding171171171171171171
Winsorized Fair Value$92.20$106.00$73.08$64.86$108.82$111.60
Full Range Median Fair Value$108.00$121.93$73.37$82.49$118.66$124.55
Current Price$229.60$229.60$229.60$229.60$229.60$229.60
Upside / Downside-59.84%-53.83%-68.17%-71.75%-52.60%-51.39%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$64.54$74.20$51.16$45.40$76.18$78.12
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy