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Multiples Valuation: Turning Point Brands, Inc.

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (TPB)

Industry: Tobacco Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $32.16 — $71.03
Selected (Average) $52.22
Upside to Live -56.10%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $35.96 — $87.73
Selected (Average) $67.31
Upside to Live -43.41%
Live Price $118.95

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
6969.HK 10 Smoore Internation 3,391 37.78 37.78 29.31 29.31 54.43 41.03
UVV 11 Universal Corporat 2,987 12.53 10.93 8.12 6.97 9.25 8.34
KARE.AT 12 Karelia Tobacco Co 1,866 9.05 8.58 6.23 6.22 4.55 5.29
VGR 13 Vector Group Ltd. 1,421 8.42 7.14 7.35 6.99 6.71 7.16
GODFRYPHLP.BO 14 Godfrey Phillips I 657 37.14 28.10 35.41 28.46 40.93 21.69
RMBA.JK 15 PT Bentoel Interna 515 8.42 8.42 11.98 8.60 4.99 11.43
4162.KL 16 British American T 465 11.21 12.93 10.53 11.85 42.33 12.11
TPB 17 Turning Point Bran 436 34.44 25.46 16.13 14.08 18.41 15.58
HAYPP.ST 18 Haypp Group AB (pu 399 85.54 85.54 23.30 23.30 201.99 63.39
WIIM.JK 19 PT Wismilak Inti M 354 7.01 5.58 4.76 3.67 3.63 4.07
VSTIND.BO 20 VST Industries Lim 149 14.41 14.52 14.37 15.30 16.45 19.32
ISPR 21 Ispire Technology 119 - - - - - -
TAAT.CN 22 TAAT Global Altern 66 - - - - - -
HMBL.CN 23 Humble & Fume Inc. 50 - - - - - -
2372.HK 24 WEIli Holdings Lim 40 - - - - 19.92 -
VIRATCRA.BO 25 Virat Crane Indust 16 81.39 112.32 26.48 31.48 - 47.82

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.2110.9310.538.609.2511.43
Full Range Median Multiple12.5312.9311.9811.8516.4512.11
Industry Multiple28.4530.1716.1715.6536.8321.97
Market Implied Multiple41.4430.6319.2316.7921.9518.58
Company (TPB) Multiple34.4425.4616.1314.0818.4115.58
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue5271118135104122
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,2441,1659581,398
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,4161,6041,7031,481
(-) Net Debt102102102102102102
Winsorized Equity Value5877741,1421,0638561,296
Full Range Median Equity Value6569171,3141,5021,6011,379
(/) Shares Outstanding181818181818
Winsorized Fair Value$32.16$42.43$62.57$58.23$46.90$71.03
Full Range Median Fair Value$35.96$50.23$72.00$82.33$87.73$75.60
Current Price$118.95$118.95$118.95$118.95$118.95$118.95
Upside / Downside-72.96%-64.33%-47.40%-51.04%-60.57%-40.29%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$22.51$29.70$43.80$40.76$32.83$49.72
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy