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Multiples Valuation: Travel + Leisure Co.

Travel + Leisure Co. (TNL)

Industry: Travel Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $38.91 — $217.58
Selected (Average) $93.53
Upside to Live 29.16%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $57.00 — $264.63
Selected (Average) $113.18
Upside to Live 56.31%
Live Price $72.41

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
JET2.L 4 Jet2 plc 19,211 2.73 1.51 1.45 0.87 0.89 1.55
RCL 5 Royal Caribbean Cr 17,437 21.62 21.62 16.08 16.08 15.95 23.60
EXPE 6 Expedia Group, Inc 14,370 19.05 19.05 9.19 9.19 6.19 15.39
ABNB 7 Airbnb, Inc. 11,943 28.69 28.69 23.71 23.71 10.80 25.95
0I50.L 8 Trip.com Group Lim 8,481 11.24 11.24 8.68 2.27 14.49 20.79
VIK 9 Viking Holdings Lt 6,127 24.83 24.83 16.67 16.67 11.09 19.56
8MI.SG 10 Minor Internationa 5,038 12.91 12.91 6.70 4.94 21.48 24.74
TNL 11 Travel + Leisure C 3,967 9.57 9.57 7.85 5.88 8.47 5.70
SABR 12 Sabre Corporation 2,894 - - 13.00 13.00 11.42 12.46
0780.HK 13 Tongcheng Travel H 2,594 16.61 11.50 8.88 6.56 11.99 8.58
TRZ.TO 14 Transat A.T. Inc. 2,477 0.34 0.34 1.85 1.85 13.29 17.35
TRIP 15 Tripadvisor, Inc. 1,891 23.88 23.88 4.62 4.62 3.89 8.14
9726.T 16 KNT-CT Holdings Co 1,841 5.38 5.38 4.07 4.07 8.56 4.99
ALVDM.PA 17 Voyageurs du Monde 1,744 6.90 4.90 2.92 2.24 15.45 2.65
MRNOW 18 Murano Global Inve 1,409 - - - - - -
002707.SZ 19 UTour Group Co., L 990 146.30 146.30 100.25 100.25 36.26 72.42

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.9111.507.694.7811.2613.93
Full Range Median Multiple16.6112.918.785.7511.7016.37
Industry Multiple24.6524.0115.5814.7412.9818.44
Market Implied Multiple11.6511.658.786.589.466.37
Company (TNL) Multiple9.579.577.855.888.475.70
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue4114119231,2328561,271
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A7,0995,8869,63617,696
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A8,1067,08210,01820,806
(-) Net Debt3,3143,3143,3143,3143,3143,314
Winsorized Equity Value5,3064,7263,7852,5726,32214,382
Full Range Median Equity Value6,8265,3064,7923,7686,70417,492
(/) Shares Outstanding666666666666
Winsorized Fair Value$80.27$71.50$57.26$38.91$95.64$217.58
Full Range Median Fair Value$103.27$80.27$72.49$57.00$101.42$264.63
Current Price$72.41$72.41$72.41$72.41$72.41$72.41
Upside / Downside10.85%-1.26%-20.92%-46.27%32.08%200.48%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$56.19$50.05$40.08$27.23$66.95$152.31
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUY