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Multiples Valuation: Logwin AG

Logwin AG (TGHN.DE)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $660.96 — $1,320.40
Selected (Average) $917.80
Upside to Live 234.96%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $709.54 — $1,349.44
Selected (Average) $1,000.30
Upside to Live 265.07%
Live Price $274.00

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
600575.SS 34 Huaihe Energy (Gro 3,936 17.01 17.12 11.94 11.63 15.74 22.63
PNL.AS 35 PostNL N.V. 3,858 - - 4.86 5.13 - -
HUBG 36 Hub Group, Inc. 3,729 19.70 18.61 7.25 6.75 15.51 16.39
600180.SS 37 CCS Supply Chain M 3,544 296.27 491.89 29.87 32.07 83.93 134.07
ECHO 38 Echo Global Logist 3,475 21.36 13.68 11.34 9.73 12.63 12.65
601156.SS 39 Eastern Air Logist 3,354 9.54 9.54 5.74 5.74 5.57 6.20
001391.SZ 40 Air China Cargo Co 3,263 29.79 29.79 18.94 18.94 28.81 21.74
TGHN.DE 41 Logwin AG 3,193 5.13 3.56 1.63 1.22 2.38 1.88
2384.T 42 SBS Holdings, Inc. 3,098 12.43 11.13 6.03 5.32 4.90 8.57
1519.HK 43 J&T Global Express 2,920 - - 11.85 11.85 17.76 43.32
FWRD 44 Forward Air Corpor 2,497 - - 4.28 3.68 18.75 37.13
603128.SS 45 CTS International 2,388 20.94 22.20 20.83 23.83 15.45 16.78
9025.T 46 Konoike Transport 2,278 13.98 10.65 5.75 4.99 7.18 5.71
1292.HK 47 Changan Minsheng A 2,199 3.79 4.84 -0.87 -0.94 -1.05 -1.69
TRCN.ME 48 PJSC Center for Ca 2,160 26.54 32.08 6.13 5.27 9.45 3.80
002320.KS 49 HANJIN Logistics C 2,088 - - 6.94 6.66 17.37 23.07

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple17.0113.686.536.2015.4516.39
Full Range Median Multiple19.7017.127.106.7115.5116.78
Industry Multiple42.8560.1410.8410.8319.4727.08
Market Implied Multiple5.914.102.051.532.992.36
Company (TGHN.DE) Multiple5.133.561.631.222.381.88
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue157226292390199252
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,9052,4163,0824,134
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A2,0692,6153,0954,232
(-) Net Debt-330-330-330-330-330-330
Winsorized Equity Value2,6673,0932,2352,7463,4124,464
Full Range Median Equity Value3,0893,8712,3992,9453,4254,562
(/) Shares Outstanding333333
Winsorized Fair Value$788.98$914.94$660.96$812.30$1,009.24$1,320.40
Full Range Median Fair Value$913.74$1,145.04$709.54$871.03$1,013.03$1,349.44
Current Price$274.00$274.00$274.00$274.00$274.00$274.00
Upside / Downside187.95%233.92%141.23%196.46%268.34%381.90%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$552.29$640.46$462.67$568.61$706.47$924.28
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY