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Multiples Valuation: SunCoke Energy, Inc.

SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC)

Industry: Coal Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.68 — $9.31
Selected (Average) $5.50
Upside to Live -30.48%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.87 — $12.27
Selected (Average) $7.72
Upside to Live -2.38%
Live Price $7.91

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
PTBA.JK 27 PT Bukit Asam Tbk 2,602 7.26 7.03 4.24 4.02 13.52 6.08
ARLP 28 Alliance Resource 2,249 13.27 13.27 5.94 4.51 8.63 8.77
AMR 29 Alpha Metallurgica 2,226 - - 13.04 13.04 - -
000937.SZ 30 Jizhong Energy Res 2,081 51.86 61.34 12.36 13.31 31.15 35.33
0975.HK 31 Mongolian Mining C 1,905 2.62 2.62 1.32 0.67 7.40 1.76
601001.SS 32 Jinneng Holding Sh 1,863 11.91 10.40 2.39 2.27 3.96 2.68
RASP.ME 33 PJSC Raspadskaya 1,858 - - 47.79 47.79 - 6.91
SXC 34 SunCoke Energy, In 1,843 10.72 6.92 6.18 6.22 15.63 13.15
AHGP 35 Alliance Holdings 1,792 4.15 3.73 2.93 2.57 3.04 5.15
601918.SS 36 China Coal Xinji E 1,781 7.89 7.89 7.68 6.98 10.50 8.63
1277.HK 37 Kinetic Developmen 1,611 2.08 2.08 1.57 0.86 2.95 0.80
600395.SS 38 Guizhou Panjiang R 1,374 224.27 388.89 27.09 26.74 74.16 188.17
SOL.AX 39 Washington H. Soul 1,302 17.40 13.18 13.36 10.44 20.15 15.26
600123.SS 40 Shanxi Lanhua Sci- 1,301 451.47 681.57 18.50 20.10 - -
0639.HK 41 Shougang Fushan Re 1,235 5.70 3.40 1.39 1.17 3.73 1.62
HCC 42 Warrior Met Coal, 1,223 95.16 83.87 21.55 21.21 40.57 747.71

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple7.897.895.944.518.026.08
Full Range Median Multiple11.9110.407.686.989.576.91
Industry Multiple68.8598.4012.0811.7118.3179.14
Market Implied Multiple10.396.716.086.1215.3812.94
Company (SXC) Multiple10.726.926.186.2215.6313.15
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue6510121321184100
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,262952673607
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,6331,471804690
(-) Net Debt615615615615615615
Winsorized Equity Value51479664733758-9
Full Range Median Equity Value7751,0491,01885618975
(/) Shares Outstanding868686868686
Winsorized Fair Value$6.01$9.31$7.56$3.94$0.68$-0.10
Full Range Median Fair Value$9.07$12.27$11.90$10.01$2.20$0.87
Current Price$7.91$7.91$7.91$7.91$7.91$7.91
Upside / Downside-24.04%17.66%-4.39%-50.24%-91.40%-101.30%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$4.21$6.51$5.29$2.76$0.48$-0.07
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy