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Multiples Valuation: Constellation Brands, Inc.

Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ)

Industry: Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $42.34 — $149.55
Selected (Average) $84.96
Upside to Live -45.76%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $74.11 — $153.14
Selected (Average) $98.38
Upside to Live -37.19%
Live Price $156.64

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
DGE.L 3 Diageo plc 54,294 6.52 6.17 5.16 4.60 7.24 4.91
RI.PA 4 Pernod Ricard S.A. 26,487 6.86 6.20 5.07 4.78 - 13.72
600519.SS 5 Kweichow Moutai Co 24,804 20.09 17.46 14.11 12.36 16.68 12.41
STCK.L 6 Stock Spirits Grou 16,256 0.36 0.13 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01
EDV.AX 7 Endeavour Group Li 16,091 7.66 7.66 4.21 4.21 10.33 6.71
000858.SZ 8 Wuliangye Yibin Co 11,667 16.58 15.36 9.01 8.37 43.65 8.18
Y92.SI 9 Thai Beverage Publ 11,660 12.42 12.16 9.52 9.13 12.04 11.48
STZ 10 Constellation Bran 9,623 21.75 21.27 14.33 12.90 10.46 10.64
0ROY.L 11 Davide Campari-Mil 7,114 13.15 11.70 6.96 6.14 6.56 8.11
600809.SS 12 Shanxi Xinghuacun 5,333 19.25 14.27 13.59 10.18 14.53 10.14
000568.SZ 13 Luzhou Laojiao Co. 4,261 15.34 13.06 9.86 8.29 10.55 8.44
BF-A 14 Brown-Forman Corpo 3,889 15.89 16.31 12.53 12.73 12.30 14.60
TWE.AX 15 Treasury Wine Esta 3,829 11.83 11.83 6.06 3.65 5.47 5.94
000596.SZ 16 Anhui Gujing Disti 2,971 17.94 14.94 11.04 9.06 69.76 9.38
002304.SZ 17 Jiangsu Yanghe Bre 2,761 49.45 63.84 23.77 27.77 - 36.11
RCO.PA 18 Rémy Cointreau S. 2,558 7.24 6.43 4.96 4.59 10.37 5.29

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple12.4211.836.966.1410.378.18
Full Range Median Multiple13.1512.169.018.2910.558.44
Industry Multiple14.7014.509.068.3916.8810.36
Market Implied Multiple22.5222.0214.7013.2310.7310.92
Company (STZ) Multiple21.7521.2714.3312.9010.4610.64
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1,2231,2502,5522,8343,4963,436
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A17,76317,41336,26328,089
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A23,00023,48536,89429,006
(-) Net Debt9,9699,9699,9699,9699,9699,969
Winsorized Equity Value15,18314,7907,7947,44426,29418,120
Full Range Median Equity Value16,07415,19913,03113,51626,92619,037
(/) Shares Outstanding176176176176176176
Winsorized Fair Value$86.36$84.12$44.33$42.34$149.55$103.06
Full Range Median Fair Value$91.42$86.45$74.11$76.87$153.14$108.28
Current Price$156.64$156.64$156.64$156.64$156.64$156.64
Upside / Downside-44.87%-46.30%-71.70%-72.97%-4.53%-34.21%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$60.45$58.88$31.03$29.64$104.69$72.14
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy