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Multiples Valuation: Vinci S.A.

Vinci S.A. (SQU.DE)

Industry: Engineering & Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $145.62 — $320.08
Selected (Average) $247.74
Upside to Live 111.12%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $159.22 — $568.20
Selected (Average) $316.88
Upside to Live 170.03%
Live Price $117.35

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
601668.SS 1 China State Constr 300,725 5.04 5.00 7.55 7.50 12.05 9.86
SQU.DE 2 Vinci S.A. 170,405 7.58 6.55 4.10 3.53 6.12 4.81
601390.SS 3 China Railway Grou 158,406 5.48 5.55 11.52 11.16 16.22 17.08
601186.SS 4 China Railway Cons 147,245 4.74 4.64 12.86 12.50 21.62 21.79
601800.SS 5 China Communicatio 106,110 7.10 6.81 14.73 14.25 21.26 18.72
601669.SS 6 Power Construction 91,872 9.00 8.34 13.25 12.31 24.67 27.59
601618.SS 7 Metallurgical Corp 67,346 20.54 23.21 18.57 20.27 23.07 28.30
EN.PA 8 Bouygues S.A. 67,111 13.97 12.58 4.75 4.37 6.37 8.91
601868.SS 9 China Energy Engin 65,957 12.64 11.39 14.12 12.41 29.45 23.03
600170.SS 10 Shanghai Construct 34,671 12.93 14.38 8.35 8.91 12.78 18.55
3311.HK 11 China State Constr 29,610 2.95 2.40 3.51 2.68 3.65 2.87
028260.KS 12 Samsung C&T Corpor 27,137 12.44 10.89 4.95 4.19 8.91 7.52
PWR 13 Quanta Services, I 27,065 60.67 50.17 26.23 21.26 32.47 34.64
601117.SS 14 China National Che 26,640 7.42 6.60 3.73 3.34 5.04 3.53
ANA.MC 15 Acciona, S.A. 25,466 10.00 7.62 7.18 6.37 8.99 8.04
SPIE.PA 16 SPIE S.a. 23,038 18.75 18.75 6.85 5.63 11.59 8.74

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.007.627.557.5012.059.86
Full Range Median Multiple10.008.348.358.9112.7817.08
Industry Multiple13.5812.5610.549.8115.8715.94
Market Implied Multiple7.116.143.923.385.854.59
Company (SQU.DE) Multiple7.586.554.103.536.124.81
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue11,00512,73328,22432,75218,91024,072
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A213,166245,710227,873237,405
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A235,793291,971241,670411,099
(-) Net Debt32,35432,35432,35432,35432,35432,354
Winsorized Equity Value99,02397,064180,812213,355195,519205,051
Full Range Median Equity Value110,076106,132203,438259,616209,315378,744
(/) Shares Outstanding667667667667667667
Winsorized Fair Value$148.56$145.62$271.26$320.08$293.32$307.62
Full Range Median Fair Value$165.14$159.22$305.20$389.49$314.02$568.20
Current Price$117.35$117.35$117.35$117.35$117.35$117.35
Upside / Downside26.59%24.09%131.15%172.76%149.96%162.14%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$103.99$101.93$189.88$224.06$205.33$215.34
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYBUYBUYBUY