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Multiples Valuation: Spheria Emerging Companies Limited

Spheria Emerging Companies Limited (SEC.AX)

Industry: Asset Management Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.50 — $5.40
Selected (Average) $2.55
Upside to Live -10.84%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $0.66 — $20.33
Selected (Average) $7.43
Upside to Live 159.71%
Live Price $2.86

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
LADVX 789 Lord Abbett Develo 18 - - - - 21.92 -
RPXFX 790 RiverParks Large G 18 - - - - 2.88 -
MGDA.TA 791 Migdalor- Alternat 18 - - 11.93 11.93 - 7.26
MPLF.L 792 Marble Point Loan 18 789.52 789.52 840.03 840.03 764.13 791.21
PREVA.AS 793 Value8 N.V. 18 2.82 2.44 2.58 2.50 1.55 2.34
MCDFX 794 Matthews China Div 18 - - - - 0.09 0.08
KAY.L 795 Kings Arms Yard VC 18 0.10 0.10 -2.72 -2.72 -0.80 -3.19
SEC.AX 796 Spheria Emerging C 18 1.78 1.78 12.58 12.58 10.85 5.07
ICMB 797 Investcorp Credit 17 21.79 21.79 - - - 14.82
AADV.L 798 Albion Development 17 - - -1.51 -1.03 -0.50 -1.35
MRCC 799 Monroe Capital Cor 17 - - - - - -
MVT 800 BlackRock MuniVest 17 47.99 68.70 - - 24.01 26.76
AFT 801 Apollo Senior Floa 17 11.58 14.92 11.74 10.65 4.76 13.25
BSRT.L 802 Baker Steel Resour 16 1.70 1.70 1.67 1.67 1.05 1.67
8518.T 803 Japan Asia Investm 16 68.06 85.51 78.13 121.84 - -
TPZ 804 Tortoise Essential 16 3.96 3.96 4.60 4.60 2.18 4.60

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple3.963.964.604.602.184.60
Full Range Median Multiple11.5814.9211.7410.652.887.26
Industry Multiple105.28109.85135.81141.8991.4095.78
Market Implied Multiple2.102.1014.8214.8212.785.97
Company (SEC.AX) Multiple1.781.7812.5812.5810.855.07
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue545488919
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A35351987
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A908125137
(-) Net Debt-1-1-1-1-1-1
Winsorized Equity Value21521536362088
Full Range Median Equity Value627808908226138
(/) Shares Outstanding404040404040
Winsorized Fair Value$5.40$5.40$0.90$0.90$0.50$2.20
Full Range Median Fair Value$15.78$20.33$2.27$2.06$0.66$3.47
Current Price$2.86$2.86$2.86$2.86$2.86$2.86
Upside / Downside88.75%88.75%-68.58%-68.58%-82.45%-22.92%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$3.78$3.78$0.63$0.63$0.35$1.54
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy