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Multiples Valuation: Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL)

Industry: Apparel - Retail Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $14.20 — $42.75
Selected (Average) $26.65
Upside to Live 40.40%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $14.68 — $43.00
Selected (Average) $29.00
Upside to Live 52.77%
Live Price $18.98

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
0L9Q.L 39 Fiskars Oyj Abp 1,342 67.41 81.62 14.29 14.84 77.31 51.49
4240.SR 40 Fawaz Abdulaziz Al 1,303 - - 5.44 5.26 13.72 12.97
SFIX 41 Stitch Fix, Inc. 1,290 - - - - - -
PLCE 42 The Children's Pla 1,288 - - 25.28 25.28 22.13 -
BKE 43 The Buckle, Inc. 1,278 13.35 11.80 9.95 8.94 11.53 9.73
8214.T 44 AOKI Holdings Inc. 1,245 17.25 17.25 6.66 6.66 25.02 10.27
ALDAR.PA 45 Damartex 1,230 - - - - - -
SCVL 46 Shoe Carnival, Inc 1,144 8.66 6.32 7.55 6.01 10.33 8.21
FNG.AS 47 FNG N.V. 1,138 14.53 14.53 6.09 6.09 6.84 10.18
LINDEX.HE 48 Lindex Group Oyj 1,105 32.47 32.47 6.40 6.17 16.28 8.87
PMV.AX 49 Premier Investment 1,089 28.73 22.12 22.28 17.83 34.52 28.53
0KIZ.L 50 New Wave Group AB 1,043 17.75 14.75 11.68 10.18 14.00 11.93
CURV 51 Torrid Holdings In 1,039 - - 2.55 2.63 320.49 9.96
0709.HK 52 Giordano Internati 997 4.73 5.38 2.66 2.94 3.23 3.33
7606.T 53 United Arrows Ltd. 987 14.84 14.84 6.49 3.59 5.94 4.65
SOMA3.SA 54 Grupo de Moda SOMA 974 - - - - 47.80 -

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple14.8414.756.446.1314.009.96
Full Range Median Multiple17.2514.846.576.4116.2810.18
Industry Multiple23.4523.869.989.2046.0614.72
Market Implied Multiple8.976.557.736.1510.578.40
Company (SCVL) Multiple8.666.327.556.0110.338.21
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue58791021287494
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A6577851,043934
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A6708211,213954
(-) Net Debt268268268268268268
Winsorized Equity Value8591,169388516774665
Full Range Median Equity Value9981,176401552944685
(/) Shares Outstanding272727272727
Winsorized Fair Value$31.41$42.75$14.20$18.88$28.32$24.33
Full Range Median Fair Value$36.51$43.00$14.68$20.20$34.53$25.06
Current Price$18.98$18.98$18.98$18.98$18.98$18.98
Upside / Downside65.47%125.24%-25.20%-0.50%49.18%28.20%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$21.98$29.93$9.94$13.22$19.82$17.03
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYDon’t BuyDon’t BuyBUYDon’t Buy