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Multiples Valuation: Royal Gold, Inc.

Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD)

Industry: Gold Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $39.08 — $76.86
Selected (Average) $54.15
Upside to Live -79.57%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $43.88 — $89.60
Selected (Average) $61.45
Upside to Live -76.82%
Live Price $265.12

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
AGI 35 Alamos Gold Inc. 1,163 27.38 19.78 14.11 11.25 15.60 17.96
FNV 36 Franco-Nevada Corp 1,122 46.70 36.59 29.49 24.14 31.35 32.96
0R4M.L 37 Lundin Gold Inc. 1,069 19.75 19.75 11.62 11.62 9.10 11.62
SLR.AX 38 Silver Lake Resour 938 9.79 9.79 1.60 1.60 4.11 6.53
CGAU 39 Centerra Gold Inc. 932 6.33 6.15 2.35 1.94 1.22 4.55
GMD.AX 40 Genesis Minerals L 897 15.87 15.87 8.37 8.37 5.23 13.20
NGD 41 New Gold Inc. 891 22.95 22.95 10.10 7.79 6.74 5.22
RGLD 42 Royal Gold, Inc. 856 27.48 23.83 19.62 17.92 19.68 20.42
DRD.JO 43 DRDGOLD Limited 842 0.63 0.32 0.14 0.09 - 0.14
WAF.AX 44 West African Resou 794 3.91 3.91 2.31 2.31 3.29 2.86
AAUC 45 Allied Gold Corpor 780 - - 6.77 6.77 3.74 5.65
GOR.AX 46 Gold Road Resource 740 11.50 11.50 5.53 5.53 5.41 7.52
RED.AX 47 Red 5 Limited 689 - - 4.53 4.53 14.33 15.50
GFI.JO 48 Gold Fields Limite 651 8.36 8.36 4.05 3.68 2.78 4.45
OGC.AX 49 OceanaGold Corpora 619 - - 0.89 0.98 - -
RKVA.F 50 Wesdome Gold Mines 587 11.27 8.07 5.65 4.12 5.84 5.04

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.539.084.534.125.235.43
Full Range Median Multiple11.3910.655.534.535.416.09
Industry Multiple15.3713.597.176.318.369.51
Market Implied Multiple36.3231.5025.6623.4425.7426.70
Company (RGLD) Multiple27.4823.8319.6217.9219.6820.42
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue480553703769701675
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,1813,1683,6623,670
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A3,8873,4833,7924,113
(-) Net Debt597597597597597597
Winsorized Equity Value5,0545,0222,5832,5703,0643,072
Full Range Median Equity Value5,4665,8933,2902,8863,1953,516
(/) Shares Outstanding666666666666
Winsorized Fair Value$76.86$76.37$39.28$39.08$46.60$46.72
Full Range Median Fair Value$83.12$89.60$50.03$43.88$48.58$53.46
Current Price$265.12$265.12$265.12$265.12$265.12$265.12
Upside / Downside-71.01%-71.19%-85.18%-85.26%-82.42%-82.38%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$53.80$53.46$27.50$27.36$32.62$32.70
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy