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Multiples Valuation: Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $9.56 — $10.40
Selected (Average) $9.98
Upside to Live -37.67%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $9.76 — $11.20
Selected (Average) $10.48
Upside to Live -34.53%
Live Price $16.01

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
KRE.CO 752 Kreditbanken A/S 63 8.36 6.80 6.50 5.25 6.61 5.26
VABK 753 Virginia National 62 15.75 13.77 12.26 10.74 - 12.74
FUSB 754 First US Bancshare 62 12.54 10.98 8.72 7.98 7.86 9.47
NKSH 755 National Bankshare 62 21.76 24.61 14.70 16.19 - 19.66
BOCH 756 Bank of Commerce H 61 13.62 10.48 3.02 2.58 4.06 7.56
SSBI 757 Summit State Bank 61 - - - - 15.78 -
FFNW 758 First Financial No 61 185.91 292.59 40.08 37.14 42.27 355.66
PROV 759 Provident Financia 60 16.87 17.18 21.56 21.89 24.27 30.10
7150.T 760 The Shimane Bank,L 59 8.66 8.66 -29.33 -29.33 -25.74 -12.26
PBHC 761 Pathfinder Bancorp 59 10.82 10.80 14.21 13.87 - 16.54
BBC.AX 762 BNK Banking Corpor 58 - - - - 8.66 -
PFBI 763 Premier Financial 58 6.25 4.97 2.10 1.84 3.52 4.07
CBNA 764 Chain Bridge Banco 57 54.93 54.93 26.32 26.32 26.62 26.86
LMST 765 Limestone Bancorp, 57 8.99 10.37 7.34 6.06 6.69 7.67
ICBK 766 County Bancorp, In 57 11.46 10.08 6.94 6.37 8.30 9.36
PNBK 767 Patriot National B 57 - - - - - -

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.1410.437.346.377.869.36
Full Range Median Multiple12.0010.648.727.988.089.47
Industry Multiple29.9238.2512.9312.2113.0443.17
Market Implied Multiple17.1517.4621.7022.0324.4230.29
Company (PROV) Multiple16.8717.1821.5621.8924.2730.10
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue661212119
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A90778683
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A107978884
(-) Net Debt164164164164164164
Winsorized Equity Value6762-73-86-78-81
Full Range Median Equity Value7263-56-67-75-80
(/) Shares Outstanding666666
Winsorized Fair Value$10.40$9.56$-11.33$-13.37$-12.01$-12.54
Full Range Median Fair Value$11.20$9.76$-8.70$-10.34$-11.64$-12.39
Current Price$16.01$16.01$16.01$16.01$16.01$16.01
Upside / Downside-35.03%-40.30%-170.80%-183.48%-175.00%-178.31%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$7.28$6.69$-7.93$-9.36$-8.41$-8.78
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy