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Multiples Valuation: Pepper Money Limited

Pepper Money Limited (PPM.AX)

Industry: Financial - Credit Services Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $4.67 — $44.96
Selected (Average) $20.28
Upside to Live 889.51%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $5.83 — $70.06
Selected (Average) $30.49
Upside to Live 1,387.11%
Live Price $2.05

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
8572.T 42 Acom Co., Ltd. 2,074 12.72 12.81 9.59 8.55 11.59 20.83
SBICARD.BO 43 SBI Cards and Paym 2,068 43.50 39.05 32.38 27.02 17.09 27.59
NNI 44 Nelnet, Inc. 2,008 10.49 8.59 18.62 16.86 22.28 17.72
029780.KS 45 Samsung Card Co., 1,863 8.98 8.07 23.59 22.16 29.50 25.34
LTF.NS 46 L&T Finance Ltd 1,824 23.09 20.22 35.93 29.94 25.46 31.09
INTRUM.ST 47 Intrum AB (publ) 1,807 - - 9.81 10.33 17.55 9.06
8252.T 48 Marui Group Co., L 1,714 19.53 18.16 19.00 16.83 24.96 24.13
PPM.AX 49 Pepper Money Limit 1,695 4.09 4.09 6.31 6.31 48.52 17.79
AGM-PC 50 Federal Agricultur 1,614 8.50 7.38 114.30 99.93 112.96 99.93
8585.T 51 Orient Corporation 1,585 10.52 10.72 24.96 19.64 130.11 29.04
FOA 52 Finance Of America 1,459 33.65 76.92 -1,694.01 -2,615.18 - -8,147.67
SRTRANSFIN.NS 53 Shriram Transport 1,370 7.55 5.74 2.14 1.79 1.64 1.81
LFG.AX 54 Liberty Financial 1,364 4.05 4.05 6.88 6.88 14.52 14.68
MGI 55 MoneyGram Internat 1,340 30.77 30.77 2.68 2.49 4.72 3.91
LC 56 LendingClub Corpor 1,296 16.82 16.82 6.17 6.17 7.58 7.01
HUDCO.BO 57 Housing and Urban 1,288 15.95 13.70 45.39 39.08 44.88 39.20

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.6211.7714.2113.5817.3219.28
Full Range Median Multiple14.3413.2518.8116.8519.9222.48
Industry Multiple17.5819.5025.1021.9833.2025.10
Market Implied Multiple4.664.666.366.3648.8817.92
Company (PPM.AX) Multiple4.094.096.316.3148.5217.79
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue1341341,6691,669217592
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A23,72022,6633,76011,413
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A31,38628,1154,32413,310
(-) Net Debt9,9869,9869,9869,9869,9869,986
Winsorized Equity Value1,5621,58113,73512,677-6,2251,427
Full Range Median Equity Value1,9261,78121,40118,130-5,6613,325
(/) Shares Outstanding305305305305305305
Winsorized Fair Value$5.11$5.18$44.96$41.50$-20.38$4.67
Full Range Median Fair Value$6.31$5.83$70.06$59.35$-18.53$10.88
Current Price$2.05$2.05$2.05$2.05$2.05$2.05
Upside / Downside149.37%152.51%2,093.32%1,924.41%-1,094.10%127.93%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$3.58$3.62$31.47$29.05$-14.27$3.27
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYDon’t BuyBUY