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Multiples Valuation: PulteGroup, Inc.

PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM)

Industry: Residential Construction Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $126.50 — $154.04
Selected (Average) $142.59
Upside to Live 9.49%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $129.79 — $168.05
Selected (Average) $150.57
Upside to Live 15.62%
Live Price $130.23

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
DHI 1 D.R. Horton, Inc. 34,250 14.00 12.89 10.74 9.80 11.55 10.84
LEN 2 Lennar Corporation 34,187 15.81 16.36 10.01 10.21 21.65 9.84
PHM 3 PulteGroup, Inc. 17,623 9.87 8.58 7.50 6.48 8.06 6.63
BDEV.L 4 Barratt Redrow plc 13,036 20.29 24.40 9.31 10.24 4.54 8.73
TOL 5 Toll Brothers, Inc 10,967 9.70 7.78 6.41 5.25 5.23 5.46
NVR 6 NVR, Inc. 10,310 16.38 14.77 11.73 10.46 13.29 11.21
VTY.L 7 Vistry Group PLC 9,903 8.55 8.15 4.54 3.90 10.71 7.23
3291.T 8 Iida Group Holding 9,363 12.56 12.84 9.34 9.32 9.52 11.75
TMHC 9 Taylor Morrison Ho 8,378 7.61 5.72 6.54 5.36 7.09 5.37
BWY.L 10 Bellway p.l.c. 6,905 10.26 11.33 6.32 6.68 5.08 6.02
KBH 11 KB Home 6,542 8.14 7.37 8.46 7.63 10.75 8.39
MTH 12 Meritage Homes Cor 6,035 9.45 8.78 8.93 8.32 7.20 7.41
DFH 13 Dream Finders Home 4,671 8.36 5.99 9.44 6.70 16.08 7.35
MHO 14 M/I Homes, Inc. 4,473 8.22 6.93 6.26 5.30 7.39 5.87
CCS 15 Century Communitie 4,158 8.76 8.34 9.28 8.74 9.07 8.43
TPH 16 Tri Pointe Homes, 3,752 9.76 9.60 7.73 7.53 11.19 8.52

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.458.348.467.539.077.41
Full Range Median Multiple9.708.788.937.639.528.39
Industry Multiple11.1910.758.347.7010.028.16
Market Implied Multiple9.738.467.396.397.956.54
Company (PHM) Multiple9.878.587.506.488.066.63
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue2,6303,0263,5394,0953,2924,004
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A29,95830,85129,85529,672
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A31,58931,25031,34033,604
(-) Net Debt576576576576576576
Winsorized Equity Value24,86125,25029,38230,27529,27929,096
Full Range Median Equity Value25,50826,57131,01330,67430,76433,028
(/) Shares Outstanding197197197197197197
Winsorized Fair Value$126.50$128.47$149.50$154.04$148.97$148.04
Full Range Median Fair Value$129.79$135.19$157.80$156.07$156.53$168.05
Current Price$130.23$130.23$130.23$130.23$130.23$130.23
Upside / Downside-2.87%-1.35%14.79%18.28%14.39%13.68%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$88.55$89.93$104.65$107.83$104.28$103.63
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy