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Multiples Valuation: Origin Enterprises plc

Origin Enterprises plc (OIZ.IR)

Industry: Agricultural Farm Products Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $6.23 — $12.01
Selected (Average) $8.11
Upside to Live 99.84%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $6.89 — $14.10
Selected (Average) $9.53
Upside to Live 134.75%
Live Price $4.06

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
FFARM.AS 16 ForFarmers N.V. 6,676 5.11 5.38 1.62 1.58 2.02 2.68
2445.KL 17 Kuala Lumpur Kepon 6,123 28.07 27.76 10.67 8.91 17.16 13.75
2419.HK 18 Dekon Food & Agric 6,077 4.86 4.86 4.94 4.94 4.92 4.45
9858.HK 19 China Youran Dairy 5,677 - - 3.73 3.73 3.78 4.26
FDP 20 Fresh Del Monte Pr 5,265 20.94 16.24 9.01 8.43 - 13.78
BACHOCOB.MX 21 Industrias Bachoco 5,217 11.41 11.12 3.46 3.20 23.87 4.49
603609.SS 22 Wellhope Foods Co. 5,196 38.16 57.48 17.87 21.20 - 59.87
OIZ.IR 23 Origin Enterprises 4,879 4.25 4.61 2.85 2.79 2.03 3.29
CALM 24 Cal-Maine Foods, I 4,399 4.41 2.26 3.01 1.74 5.36 1.58
ING.AX 25 Inghams Group Limi 4,236 6.96 6.96 4.24 4.24 7.05 6.41
002385.SZ 26 Beijing Dabeinong 4,168 37.38 48.32 14.56 15.72 - 35.95
ELD.AX 27 Elders Limited 4,100 9.18 9.18 5.57 5.57 7.62 3.64
CPIN.JK 28 PT Charoen Pokphan 4,036 20.04 19.74 12.54 11.96 36.62 13.74
AUSS.OL 29 Austevoll Seafood 3,746 16.39 14.39 9.50 9.47 64.08 28.93
1117.HK 30 China Modern Dairy 3,712 - - 4.54 4.15 5.39 4.94
UD2.SI 31 Japfa Ltd. 3,524 6.99 6.65 5.63 5.98 4.39 5.37

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple9.189.184.944.945.374.94
Full Range Median Multiple11.4111.125.575.576.225.37
Industry Multiple16.1517.727.397.3915.1913.59
Market Implied Multiple4.635.033.042.982.173.52
Company (OIZ.IR) Multiple4.254.612.852.792.033.29
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue109101220225310191
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,0881,1111,664941
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,2271,2521,9251,024
(-) Net Debt163163163163163163
Winsorized Equity Value1,0059259259471,500778
Full Range Median Equity Value1,2491,1201,0631,0881,762861
(/) Shares Outstanding125125125125125125
Winsorized Fair Value$8.04$7.41$7.41$7.58$12.01$6.23
Full Range Median Fair Value$10.00$8.97$8.51$8.71$14.10$6.89
Current Price$4.06$4.06$4.06$4.06$4.06$4.06
Upside / Downside98.11%82.43%82.42%86.79%195.88%53.41%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$5.63$5.18$5.18$5.31$8.41$4.36
Buy / Don't BuyBUYBUYBUYBUYBUYBUY