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Multiples Valuation: Origin Bancorp, Inc.

Origin Bancorp, Inc. (OBK)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.10 — $21.17
Selected (Average) $18.27
Upside to Live -54.82%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $10.87 — $24.40
Selected (Average) $20.08
Upside to Live -50.35%
Live Price $40.44

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BY 415 Byline Bancorp, In 624 10.00 7.99 10.33 8.48 8.86 8.52
CNOB 416 ConnectOne Bancorp 619 15.49 15.74 19.97 19.71 8.39 22.28
BJTM.JK 417 PT Bank Pembanguna 610 5.49 5.46 1.45 1.41 1.27 1.56
STEL 418 Stellar Bancorp, I 602 15.26 11.85 5.68 4.33 6.97 5.43
PEBO 419 Peoples Bancorp In 593 10.30 8.01 13.05 10.40 21.77 11.17
SRCE 420 1st Source Corpora 591 10.14 8.89 7.94 7.32 7.30 7.40
NBHC 421 National Bank Hold 589 12.09 11.14 5.65 5.20 5.75 6.12
OBK 422 Origin Bancorp, In 586 17.96 15.80 11.56 10.00 24.69 12.41
7389.T 423 Aichi Financial Gr 581 15.72 15.72 -119.48 -119.48 -2.68 -2.77
CSBBANK.BO 424 CSB Bank Limited 581 10.38 7.07 8.79 6.78 8.51 6.78
QCRH 425 QCR Holdings, Inc. 580 10.51 9.07 8.46 7.56 7.43 8.24
FFWM 426 First Foundation I 563 - - - - - -
AZA.ST 427 Avanza Bank Holdin 559 20.97 17.43 18.84 16.77 13.38 11.88
CIMBT.BK 428 CIMB Thai Bank Pub 556 5.01 4.97 6.31 5.17 18.93 6.31
8358.T 429 Suruga Bank Ltd. 553 10.95 9.87 -8.38 -8.21 -6.14 -4.19
FSUN 430 FirstSun Capital B 552 12.04 12.04 4.14 4.14 4.45 4.53

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.448.987.125.997.366.55
Full Range Median Multiple10.739.478.207.057.917.09
Industry Multiple11.7410.379.228.109.428.35
Market Implied Multiple21.0318.5113.5311.7028.8914.53
Company (OBK) Multiple17.9615.8011.5610.0024.6912.41
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue6068941094487
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A668650324572
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A769765347620
(-) Net Debt888888
Winsorized Equity Value626612660642315564
Full Range Median Equity Value643645761757339611
(/) Shares Outstanding313131313131
Winsorized Fair Value$20.08$19.61$21.17$20.57$10.10$18.07
Full Range Median Fair Value$20.63$20.69$24.40$24.27$10.87$19.60
Current Price$40.44$40.44$40.44$40.44$40.44$40.44
Upside / Downside-50.34%-51.50%-47.66%-49.13%-75.01%-55.31%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$14.06$13.73$14.82$14.40$7.07$12.65
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy