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Multiples Valuation: National Bank Holdings Corporation

National Bank Holdings Corporation (NBHC)

Industry: Banks - Regional Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $30.83 — $51.58
Selected (Average) $43.26
Upside to Live 5.83%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $31.45 — $53.07
Selected (Average) $44.57
Upside to Live 9.02%
Live Price $40.88

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
SFNC 414 Simmons First Nati 626 - - - - - -
BY 415 Byline Bancorp, In 624 10.00 7.99 10.33 8.48 8.86 8.52
CNOB 416 ConnectOne Bancorp 619 15.49 15.74 19.97 19.71 8.39 22.28
BJTM.JK 417 PT Bank Pembanguna 610 5.49 5.46 1.45 1.41 1.27 1.56
STEL 418 Stellar Bancorp, I 602 15.26 11.85 5.68 4.33 6.97 5.43
PEBO 419 Peoples Bancorp In 593 10.30 8.01 13.05 10.40 21.77 11.17
SRCE 420 1st Source Corpora 591 10.14 8.89 7.94 7.32 7.30 7.40
NBHC 421 National Bank Hold 589 12.09 11.14 5.65 5.20 5.75 6.12
OBK 422 Origin Bancorp, In 586 17.96 15.80 11.56 10.00 24.69 12.41
7389.T 423 Aichi Financial Gr 581 15.72 15.72 -119.48 -119.48 -2.68 -2.77
CSBBANK.BO 424 CSB Bank Limited 581 10.38 7.07 8.79 6.78 8.51 6.78
QCRH 425 QCR Holdings, Inc. 580 10.51 9.07 8.46 7.56 7.43 8.24
FFWM 426 First Foundation I 563 - - - - - -
AZA.ST 427 Avanza Bank Holdin 559 20.97 17.43 18.84 16.77 13.38 11.88
CIMBT.BK 428 CIMB Thai Bank Pub 556 5.01 4.97 6.31 5.17 18.93 6.31
8358.T 429 Suruga Bank Ltd. 553 10.95 9.87 -8.38 -8.21 -6.14 -4.19

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple10.388.898.467.328.397.40
Full Range Median Multiple10.519.078.797.568.518.24
Industry Multiple12.1710.6010.228.9011.599.27
Market Implied Multiple12.7911.796.145.646.246.65
Company (NBHC) Multiple12.0911.145.655.205.756.12
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue122132175191173162
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,4851,3971,4471,199
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,5411,4431,4691,334
(-) Net Debt-480-480-480-480-480-480
Winsorized Equity Value1,2641,1741,9641,8771,9271,678
Full Range Median Equity Value1,2791,1972,0211,9221,9491,813
(/) Shares Outstanding383838383838
Winsorized Fair Value$33.18$30.83$51.58$49.28$50.61$44.08
Full Range Median Fair Value$33.60$31.45$53.07$50.49$51.18$47.62
Current Price$40.88$40.88$40.88$40.88$40.88$40.88
Upside / Downside-18.83%-24.58%26.18%20.56%23.80%7.83%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$23.23$21.58$36.11$34.50$35.43$30.86
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy