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Multiples Valuation: Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

Industry: Software - Infrastructure Model: Peers Multiples Valuation

Valuation Snapshot

Winsorized Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $132.53 — $242.07
Selected (Average) $170.46
Upside to Live -62.93%
Full Range Fair Value
Range (Low - High) $197.93 — $492.83
Selected (Average) $291.26
Upside to Live -36.66%
Live Price $459.86

Industry Peers Data

TickerRankNameRev TTM (M) Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
BLSH 1 Bullish 300,743 - - - - 116.03 232.39
MSFT 2 Microsoft Corporat 293,812 36.70 31.32 22.83 19.20 25.56 23.93
ALFIW 3 Alfi, Inc. 63,303 - - - - - -
ORCL 4 Oracle Corporation 61,016 37.06 34.24 29.99 28.50 35.77 34.96
075130.KS 5 PLANTYNET Co Ltd 45,202 15.32 15.40 1.35 0.97 68.03 6.71
SQ 6 Block, Inc. 23,974 11.13 7.01 14.63 7.04 17.19 22.78
STNE 7 StoneCo Ltd. 16,492 - - 4.96 3.62 4.77 4.03
VMW 8 VMware, Inc. 13,611 47.76 48.81 27.84 27.01 33.15 38.49
ECSC.L 9 ECSC Group plc 13,285 0.10 0.02 - - 0.10 0.01
NEXI.MI 10 Nexi S.p.A. 13,078 - - 2.83 2.83 3.03 31.03
WLN.PA 11 Worldline S.A. 10,809 - - 79.66 127.12 9.87 5.06
PANW 12 Palo Alto Networks 9,557 133.86 133.86 77.28 44.20 118.79 116.03
QIWI.ME 13 QIWI plc 8,460 8.16 8.59 6.64 7.83 - -
KKS.F 14 Joint Stock Compan 7,046 7.74 5.73 5.32 3.85 3.34 3.16
TOST 15 Toast, Inc. 5,858 78.24 78.24 61.41 61.41 59.58 83.76
WPS.L 16 W.A.G payment solu 5,782 - - 4.42 4.42 9.35 11.29

Implied Valuation Analysis

Line Item Trailing P/EForward P/ETrailing EV/EBITDAForward EV/EBITDATrailing EV/EBITForward EV/EBIT
Winsorized Median Multiple11.138.595.985.739.8711.29
Full Range Median Multiple15.3215.4010.637.4317.1922.78
Industry Multiple37.7136.8826.3626.5736.8545.36
Market Implied Multiple32.5827.8120.2917.0722.7221.26
Company (MSFT) Multiple36.7031.3222.8319.2025.5623.93
(*) Net Income / EBITDA / Revenue104,912122,930169,991202,146151,844162,232
Winsorized Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,016,7771,158,5731,498,5851,831,002
Full Range Median Enterprise ValueN/AN/A1,807,6091,502,9432,610,0763,694,938
(-) Net Debt31,70731,70731,70731,70731,70731,707
Winsorized Equity Value1,168,1081,055,852985,0701,126,8661,466,8781,799,295
Full Range Median Equity Value1,607,2701,893,5761,775,9021,471,2362,578,3693,663,231
(/) Shares Outstanding7,4337,4337,4337,4337,4337,433
Winsorized Fair Value$157.15$142.05$132.53$151.60$197.35$242.07
Full Range Median Fair Value$216.23$254.75$238.92$197.93$346.88$492.83
Current Price$459.86$459.86$459.86$459.86$459.86$459.86
Upside / Downside-65.83%-69.11%-71.18%-67.03%-57.09%-47.36%
Safety Margin30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%
Buy Price$110.01$99.43$92.77$106.12$138.14$169.45
Buy / Don't BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t BuyDon’t Buy